HomeMy WebLinkAboutDocumentation_Pension Public Safety_Tab 12_02/02/2009
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS
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Rack~rvoa~ Capital. Advrs~rs . ~ ~~~ ~~
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Strategy Review
Presented By:
Tony Brown
Senior Partner
tony@ rockwoodcapitaLcom
Village of Tequesta
Public Safety
Officers' Pension Fund
Fourth Quarter 2008 Review
February 2, 2009
w~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^r^^^^^^
Investment Policy
Objectives
..^
r ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
- The Board recognizes that the obligations of the Fund are long-term and that the investment policy should be made with a view toward performance and
return over a number of years. The general investment objective, then, is to obtain a reasonable total rate of return -defined as interest and dividend
income plus realized and unrealized capital gains or losses -commensurate with the Prudent Investor Rule and any other applicable statute.
- Reasonable consistency of return and protection of assets against the inroads of inflation are paramount. However, the volatility of interest rates and
securities markets make it necessary to judge results within the context of several years rather than over short periods of finro years or less.
- The performance of the total Fund will be measured for rolling three and five year periods and compared to the return of a portfolio comprised of 60% S&P
500 Stock Index and 40% Lehman Brothers Intermediate Government/Credit Bond Index. On a relative basis, performance for the combined portfolio over
three to five year periods is expected to be in the 40% of the Mobius Universe. Additionally, on an absolute basis, performance for the combined portfolio
over three to five year periods is expected to meet or exceed the actuarial earnings assumption of 8%.
Authorized Investments
- All investments made or held in the fund shall be limited to, obligations issued by the United States Government or guaranteed as to principal and interest by
the US Govt. or by an agency of the US Govt. Additionally, stocks, commingled funds administered by national or state banks, mutual funds and bonds or
other evidence of indebtedness, issued or guaranteed by a corporation organized under the laws of the United States, any state or organized territory of the
United States or the District of Columbia. Fixed income securities are to be ranked Investment Grade by S & P or Moody's and 90% of the equities shall be
rated by a major rating service in the top three quality grades. Not more than 5% of the Fund's assets shall be invested in the common stock, capital stock or
debt of any one issuing company, nor shall the aggregate investment in any one issuing company exceed 5% of the outstanding capital stock of the
company. Foreign securities shall not exceed 10% of the value at cost of the fund.
~ ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 1
~~.
4~' Quarter 2008
~ ^ ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ r ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ N ^ ^ ^ r ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
r.
Tequesta Publ is Safety Officers' Pensian Fund
Portfolio Summary .
Beginning
Market Value Ending
Market Value % of
Portfolio Est Annual
Income Current
Yield
Equities $2,187,326 $1,881,122 47.9% $34,862 1.9%
Fixed Income $1,663,328 $1,513,775 38.8% $75,335 5.0%
Short-Term Funds $376,762 $525,114 13.3% $525 0.1%
Accrued Income $16,533 $14,590 -- -- --
Total $4,243,949 $3,934,601 100.0% $110,722 2.8%
Total Fund Performance
Domestic
Equities
48%
Short Term
UrldS
3%
Fixed
come
39%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
Tequesta PS
^ 60% S&P 500
40% LBIN
~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 2
4~ Quarter 2008
4th Qtr 2008 One Year
Tequesia Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund
Market Value Changes
Total $ Change this quarter I -$309,347
4~' Quarter Summary
4~' Quarter Total Fund Return I -10.5%
Fiscal Year Summary
Beginning Market Balance $4,243,949
Interest /Dividends 24,269
Contributions 161,878
Net Disbursements -25,832
Net Realized & Unrealized (CJL) -469,662
Ending Market Balance $3,934,601
Beginning Market Balance (10/1/2007) $4,243,949
Interest /Dividends 24,269
Contributions 161,878
Net Disbursements -25,832
Net Realized & Unrealized (G/L) -469,662
Ending Market Balance $3,934,601
~~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 3
4~' Quarter 2008
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ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 4
4~' Quarter 2 008
^ ^ ^ ^ • ! ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ~ ^ • ^ ^ A ^ i ^ • ^ ^ ~ • ^ ^ ^
Equity
One for the Record Books
After an exhausting 2008, December kindly gave investors a modest reprieve. However, for much of the fourth quarter it continued to
be a period of historical volatility, economic uncertainty and investor anxiety. All of these factors intensified in the second half of the
year. The subprime crisis and haphazard government intervention combined to produce a worldwide decline in stocks, the likes of
which has not been seen since the Great Depression. As a result, investor confidence has been shaken, in no small part due to the
government continuously "changing the rules in the middle of the game." Only when investors believe they understand the rules, will
they get back in the game of investing in stocks.
For the year, perhaps the most challenging ever for equity investors, all market indices significantly underperformed their historical
averages. During the year, the S&P 500 dropped 37% while the average U.S. stock fund decreased 39% in value. Investors in
foreign stocks were hit hardest as the Morgan Stanley EAFE Index lost 45%. One has to go back to 1907 and 1931 to find calendar
years that inflicted greater damage on U.S. stocks!
There is no question that we face more than the usual uncertainties, thanks in part to the meddling of Washington. It was only last
January when the Fed finally appreciated the gravity of the financial crisis. However, as investors, it is important to remind ourselves
that current economic health does not necessarily determine future positive or negative investment returns. The stock market is a
futures market and as such has already priced in much of the future pain that the economy is likely to endure. The most important
question is how much bad news is currently priced in? In our opinion, the October-November period priced in the worst case
scenario for the economy. As a result, most investments already reflect this reality. As Warren Buffet likes to say, "I am fearful when
everyone is greedy and I am greedy when everyone is fearful." The fear surrounding the economy and the financial markets is
obvious!
(continued on next page)
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 5
4'~ Quarter 2008
•^^^•~^s^^^~^^^^^~^^^~^^~^^^^~^^
Equity
Out of this volatile period will emerge a new group of market leaders. Currently our largest sector allocation is in the Consumer
Discretionary area with holdings such as Burger King Holdings, Costco Wholesale Corp., McDonalds, Nike Corp., TJX Cos. Inc., and
Wal-Mart Stores. It is a sector that represents 70% of the economy. We take great comfort in knowing that our discipline, which is
predicated on identifying change, both positive and negative, will identify emerging leadership. As this develops, we will respond
appropriately. This same discipline has served us well over many cycles since 1972, and we have full confidence that it will continue
to do so for many years to come.
Performance
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
-60%
Tequesta PS
S&P 500
,t~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 6
4~' Quarter 2008
Two Years Three Years
4th Qtr 2008 One Year
^ w ^ ^ ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ i ^ ^
~ No Place to Hide
Worldwide Equity Returns
4~' Qtr
~ 2008
:,,~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 7
4~' Quarter 2008
Latin S& P
Australia Europe Japan American Financials
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4~' Quarter 2008
Portfolio Summary
Top 10 Holdings
Five Best Impact
# of Stocks 3 7
Beta 0.9
Yield 1.8%
P/E 14.1 x
S le Box
Val Cr Gn!v
Large Cap - 51.2%
Mid Cap - 46.2%
Small Cap - 2.6%
Average Market Cap $38.0 billion
Median Market Cap $14.3 billion
1. Stericycle Inc. 3.2%
2. Wells Fargo & Co. New 2.6%
3. Lockheed Martin Corp. 2.5%
4. Wal Mart Stores Inc. 2.5%
5. Bayer AG 2.5%
6. Baxter Int' I Inc. 2.5%
7. Praxair Inc. 2.5%
8. Yum Brands Inc. 2.5%
9. McDonald's Corp. 2.5%
10. Medco Health Solutions Inc. 2.4%
1. Yum Brands Inc. +12.2%
2. Wells Fargo & Co. New +11.9%
3. McDonald's Corp. +1.6%
4. Marsh & McLennan Cos. -0.8%
5.
1. Burger King Holdings Inc. -2.5%
Five Worst Impact
United States Steel Corp. -56.6%
2. Schlumberger Ltd. -46.2%
3. Agnico Eagle Mines -44.6%
4. Thermo Fisher Scientific -38.1
5. Boston Scientific Corp. -36.9%
s -~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 8
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W E ui r~a~ ~~s _and Attribution ~~~
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4
Util
~= Rockwood
~ S&P 500
Performance
20%
0%
_, 0.0 -2.9
r
0
-20 /o _15.6 -13 5.15.7 ~~ -12.7 -21.1 -21.1 -22.3
-40% -23.4 -24.7 -31.2 -31.4 "24.2 -26.0.32.8 -24.7
-37
',
-60%
Staples Discretionary Health Materials Info Energy Industrial Tele Finance
Care Tech
Util
~~~,~ ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 9
4~ Quarter 2008
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ i ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Equity Transactions
Sold
Stock
Oct First Solar Inc.
...................................................
McDermott Int'I
...................................................
Suncor Inc.
...................................................
PPL Corp.
Nov United States Steel Corp.
...................................................
Edison Int'I
VeriSign Inc.
Dec Schlumberger Ltd.
Agnico Eagle Mines
Purchased
Stock Mkt Cap Sector Description
Oct. St. Jude Medical Inc. LCap - Grw Health Care Leading maker of heart valves and other
...............................................
..........................
....................... cardiac devices
.............................................................................
Nationwide Health Prop. MCap -Val Finance REIT invests in senior housing and L-T care
...............................................
Alberto-Culver Co. ..........................
MCap - Grw .......................
Con Staples .............................................................................
Producer of personal care and household /
...............................................
..........................
....................... grocery products
.............................................................................
Progressive Corp. LCap - Grw Finance Leading underwriter of auto insurance and
other lines of coverage
Nov Copart Inc. MCap - Grw Con Desc Internet auto remarketing and sales service
...............................................
Yum Brands Inc. ..........................
LCap - Grw .......................
Con Desc .............................................................................
Worlds largest fast food operator and
...............................................
..........................
....................... franchiser; Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, KFC
.............................................................................
TJX Companies Inc. LCap - Grw Con Desc Discount apparel and home fashion chains
Dec Wells Fargo & Co. LCap -Blend Finance Bank holding company
Marsh & McLennan Cos. LCap -Blend Finance Global insurance, investment management
and consulting service company
__`
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 10
4~ Quarter 2 008
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ `~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ r ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Equity Holdings
p~ .!
Exchange
Ticker
Com an Name
Shares Avg
Cost Total
Cost
Price Market
Value Percent of
Mkt Val (% Current
Yield %) Annual
Income ISS
CGQ
- Cash 477,828 1.00 477,828 1.00 477,828 20.2 0.1 478 _ NA
ACV Alberto-Culver Co. New 2,200 27.41 60,309 24.51 53,922 2.3 1.1 572 0.35
BAX Baxter Int'I Inc. 1,100 58.90 64,791 53.59 59,235 2.5 1.9 1,144 0.35
BAYRY Bayer AG 1,000 55.32 55,318 59.40 59,400 2.5 2.8 1,634 99.00
BSX Boston Scientific Corp. 4,760 12.69 60,393 7.74 36,842 1.6 0.0 - 0.48
BKC
CVX
KO Burger King Holdings Inc.
Chevron Corp
Coca Cola Co. 2,300
620
1,000 28.62
85.34
61.91 65,826
52,910
61,906 23.88
73.97
45.27 54,924
45,861
45,270 2.3
1.9
1.9 1.1
3.5
3.4 575
1,612
1,520 0.61
0.67
0 66
CPRT Copart Inc. 1,550 34.20 53,013 27.19 42,145 1.8 0.0 - 0.11
COST
ETR Costco Wholesale Corp. New
Entergy Corp.New 980
580 66.91
111.76 65,575
64,818 52.50
83.13 51,450
48,215 2.2
2.0 1.2
3.6 627
1,740 0.04
0.92
HSIC
HEW Henry Schein Inc.
Hewitt Associateslnc. 1,085
1,490 46.78
40.16 50,753
59,834 _ 36.69
28.38 39,809
42,286 1.7
1.8 0.0
0.0 -
- 0.77
0.89
HPQ Hewlett Packard Co. 1,485 33.46 49,682 36.29 54,009 2.3 0.9 475 0.52
HNZ HJ Heinz Co. 1,160 42.56 49,367 37.60 44,097 1.9 4.4 1,926 0.94
HCBK Hudson City Bancorp Inc. 3,390 18.97 64,296 15.96 54,104 2.3 3.3 1,763 0.64
IBM Int'IBusinessCorp. 613 110.24 67,575 84.16 51,590 2.2 2.4 1,226 0.23
LSTR LandstarSysteminc. 1,240 49.48 _
61,354 38.43 47,653 2.0 0.4 198 0.20
LMT _
Lockheed Martin Corp. 710 _
64.92 46,095 84.08 59,697 2.5 2.7 1,619 0.16
MMC Marsh & McLennan Cos. 2,160 24.48 52,870 24.27 52,423 2.2 3.3 1,728 0.32
MCD
MHS McDonald's Corp.
Medco Health Solutions Inc. 950
1,330 52.86
50.05 50,213
66,563 62.19
41.91 59,081
55,740 2.5
2.4 3.2
0.0 1,900
- 0.53
0.45
MTD Mettler-Toledo Int'I Inc. 632 102.87 65,012 67.40 42,597 1.8 0.0 - 0.78
NHP Nationwide Health Properties Inc. 1,700 34.30 58,317 28.72 48,824 2.1 6.1 2,992 0.77
NKE Nike Inc. 980 67.83 66,472 51.00 50,225 2.1 2.0 980 0.05
ORCL
PEP Oracle Systems Corp.
Pepsico Inc. 3,100
700 21.59
7014 66,920
49,099 17.73
54.77 54,963
38,637 2.3
1.6 0.0
3.1 -
1,190 0.44
0.92
PX Praxair Inc. 1,000 63.70 63,700 59.36 _
59,360 2.5 2.5 1,500 0.84
PGR Progressive Corp. 3,550 16.87 59,901 14.81 52,576 2.2 0.0
~ - 0.61 _
SIAL _
Sigma-Aldrich Corp. 1,150 58.39 _
67,150 42.24 48,576 2.1 1.2 598 0.30
STJ St. Jude Medical Inc. 1,400 42.30 59,220 32.96 46,144 2.0 0.0 - 0.61
SRCL Stericycle Inc. 1,440 33.13 47,713 52.08 74,995 3.2 0.0 - 0.39
TROW T. Rowe Price Group I 1,250 35.30 44,130 35.44 44,300 1.9 2.7 1,200 0.53
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. 1,219 49.08 59,827 34.07 41,531 1.8 0.0 - 0.30
TJX TJX Companies Inc. New 2,090 25.41 53,100 20.57 42,991 1.8 2.1 920 0.91
WMT Wal Mart Stores Inc. 1,060 60.95 64,607 56.06 59,675 2.5 1.7 1,007 0.36
WFC Wells Fargo & Co. New 2,050 26.34 53,990 29.48 60,434 2.6 4.6 2,788 0.07
YUM Yum Brands Inc. _ 1,680 28.07 52,776 31.50 59,220 2.5 2.4 1,429 0.62
_
Portfolio Total $2,633,222 $ 2,360,631 100.0 1.5 $35,341
4~ Quarter 2008
~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 11
Company Shares
Voted Meeting
Date Agenda Item Mgmt
Rec Vote
Cast
Burger King HokJ, Inc 2,300 11/20/2008 ElectDirecbrs For For
(BKC) Ratify Audibrs For For
Oracle Corp. 3,100 10/10/2008 EledDirecbrs
~ For For
(ORCL) Approve Executive Incentive Bonus Plan For For
Ratify Audibrs For For
Advisory Vob b Ratify Named Executive Officers' Compensation Against Against
Rockwood Capital Advisors, through our equity sub-adviser, Contravisory Research 8 Management Co., has retained Institutional Shareholder Services ("ISS") to coordinate and vote proxies
with respect to client securities. Proxy voting is an important right of shareholders and reasonable care and diligence must be undertaken to ensure that such rights are properly and timely
exercised. When the Adviser has discretion to vote the proxies of its clients, they will be voted by ISS in accordance with their Proxy Voting Guidelines in effect from time to time. The Adviser
believes that having proxies voted by a professional proxy voting service which has the staff and resources to carefully evaluate voting issues is in the best interests of its clients and will remove
the possibility of encountering conflicts of interest on the part of the Adviser with respect to the voting of proxies.
The Compliance Officer has reviewed the most recent ISS Proxy Voting Guidelines and believes that having proxies voted in accordance with such guidelines is consistent with the best
interests of the Adviser's clients. The Chief Compliance Officer has also determined that ISS, as a leading proxy voting firm, has the capacity and competency to adequately analyze proxy
issues. The Compliance Officer has also received information from ISS demonstrating to the satisfaction of the Compliance Officer that ISS has adopted procedures to ensure that it is
independent with respect to its proxy voting decisions, including using "Chinese wall" and other procedures to segregate its proxy voting operations from its corporate servicing operations. ISS
has agreed to notify the Adviser if it believes ISS faces a material conflict of interest with respect to voting the proxies of a particular issuer. The Compliance Officer will monitor ISS to ensure
that all proxies are being properly voted by periodically engaging in "spot reviews" of votes made by ISS. The Compliance Officer will also have ISS confirm annually that it is maintaining
appropriate records as set forth below.
Client quarterly reports contain information with respect to each voted proxy about which the client portfolio held during the period, including (a) the name of the issuer, (b) the proposal voted
upon, and (c) how ISS voted the client's proxy. Additionally, the Compliance Officer will maintain files relating to the Adviser's proxy voting procedures in an easily accessible place. Records will
be maintained and preserved for five years from the end of the fiscal year during which the last entry was made on a record, with records for the first two years kept in the offices of the Adviser.
Records of the following will be included in the files:
Copies of this proxy voting policy and procedures, and any amendments thereto.
A copy of each written client request for information on how ISS voted such client's proxies, and a copy of any written response to any (written or oral) client request for
information on how ISS voted its proxies.
The Adviser has arranged with ISS to have ISS maintain and make available promptly upon request (i) copies of each proxy statement that is received for one of Adviser's clients, provided
however that ISS and the Adviser may rely on obtaining a copy of proxy statements from the SEC's EDGAR system for those proxy statements that are so available, (ii) a record of each vote
that ISS casts for one of Adviser's clients and (iii) a copy of any document ISS created that was material to making a decision how to vote proxies, or that memorializes that decision.
.~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 12
4~' Quarter 2008
^^^^^^^^^^^^^r^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
~. +-
;~ }
~, Flxed lncae ~ ~ ~.r
Beware of the Next Bubble
2008 will no doubt go down as one of the most noteworthy years of this generation. Besides the election of Barack
Obama, the economic upheaval of the past year is unlike anything seen since the Great Depression. The Fed and the
Treasury have developed proposal after proposal, seeking to contain the damage. Paulson and Bernanke always
seemed to be reacting to the latest crisis; creating some new acronym to address the newest problem even before the
efficacy of the previous program was evaluated.
The federal government has made it clear that almost no program or proposal is too large, and that they will spend any
amount to stimulate the economy. Unfortunately, this government largess has a dark side, and we fear that this
drunken binge of spending is setting the stage for the next investment bubble.
The Aftermath of the Real Estate Bubble. The bursting of the real estate bubble, brought on by government-
sanctioned risky lending coupled with overly loose monetary policy, severely damaged large financial institutions. The
prices of a wide array of mortgage-related assets have been hammered, and the resulting losses have pushed some
firms to the brink of insolvency. With the prices of formerly "rock solid" investments plummeting, investors scurried for
the safety of the "risk-free" asset - US Treasuries.
(continued on next page)
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
U.S. Treasury Yield Curves
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
Sector Index Returns
3 2 5 10 30 Tsy Agy MBS Credit CMi3S FIY
mos yrs yrs yrs yrs
~~~~ ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 13
4~' Quarter 2 008
^^r^^^^^^^^^~^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
~, Fixed Income
The Growing Treasury Market Bubble. In our view, just as we experienced a bursting real estate bubble in 2007, we
are now sitting on a growing bubble in the US Treasury market. Exhibit A is what transpired in the US T-bill market in
the fourth quarter. Some very short maturity T-bills were priced at NEGATIVE yields. In other words, demand for T-
bills was so great that some investors were willing to earn a small negative return (a.k.a. lose money) because they
feared greater losses elsewhere! Longer term treasury yields are at their lowest levels since the 1950's. The panic
buying of Treasuries propelled the 30-year T-Bond to a whopping 41.2% return in 2008, the Bond's highest return
ever.
For months, we have been concerned about the valuations in the Treasury market. In retrospect, we wish we had
invested 100% of our clients' funds in Treasuries. However, that would have been imprudent. We were a bit early
with our call, but we are more convinced than ever that those who still hold their Treasury positions at this time next
year will regret their failure to reallocate their funds to investments with a more attractive risk/return profile.
Our 2009 Strategy. Our plan is to selectively increase our credit exposure, and overweight high quality corporate
bonds, CMBS and Agency mortgages. Over the long term, allocations to high quality bonds and mortgages will be a
winning trade. Investors would be well advised to invest in those sectors supported by Uncle Sam, particularly if one
has the foresight to anticipate the next bailout recipient and to arrive before the crowd gets there.
Performance
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5
-10%
3.1% 4.8% 3.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.2% 4.9% 5.5%
4th Qtr 2008 One Year Two Years Three Years
Tequesta PS
Lehman Int
GoWt/Credit
g~ ROCKWOOD CAPITAL E~DVISORS PAGE 14
_v=~~'~-
4~' Quarter 2008
^^^^^^r^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^r
~ Fixed Por~olio Structure
Characteristics
Tequesta I Lehman Int
PS Gov't/Credit
Average Maturity ~ 4.6 yrs ~ 4.6 yrs
Effective Duration 3.9 yrs 3.8 yrs
Yield to Maturity 3.9% 3.4%
Effective Maturity
so°io
40%
20%
0% -
1 to 3 yrs 3 to 5 yrs
Tequesta PS
5 to 10 yrs 10+ yrs
^ Lehman Int Gov't/Credit
Portfolio Lehman Int G/C
Nbrtgages Nbrtgages
20% U.S. 0%
Treasuries
,.w.
44%
Agencies
U. S. 21
Treasuries ~~
3% Agencies
Cash ;;<;,t~ 44% CMBS
~~ o
~.. o
3% e:. ~s~
`,: ~.
CIIABS ~ Int'I
7% ABS 5% AEiS
3% 0% Corporates
Corporate 30%
20%
-'~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 15
4~' Quarter 2008
Fixed Holdings
f
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS
p', e
PAR
000
CUSIP
ISSUER
MDYS
S&P CG
GRADE COUPON
%
MATURITY
PRICE ORG
COST MKTVAL
000 % OF
PORT
YTMIC EFF
DUR
47
20 OOOOOOCM
06051 GDX Cash & Cash Equivalents
BANK AMER FDG CORP M Aaa
Aa2 AAA
A+ -
C+ 0.00
5.65 11112009
5/1/2018 100.000
100.593 47,286
18,688 47,286
20,307 3.01
1.29 0.100
5.567 0.08
7.35
25
15
15 07386VAB
086516AG
14041NEF A-2-FIXED RTBEAR STE
BEST BUY INC NT CRS
A-FIXED RTCAPITAL ON Aaa
Baal
Aaa AAA
BBB-
AAA -
B
- 5.33
6.75
4.85 1112/2045
7/15/2013
4/15/2011 78.694
93.357
92.782 25,137
15,060
14,981 19,785
14,529
13,950 1.26
0.92
0.89 11.785
8.413
8.454 2.76
3.69
2.08
20 161571CH A-FIXED RTCHASE ISSU Aaa _
AAA - 5.12 10115/2014 92.769 20,000 18,599 1.18 7.359 3.31
20 161571CP A-FIXED RTCHASE ISSU Aaa AAA - 4.65 311512013 88.785 19,999 17,798____ 1.13 7.867 3.66
11 17275RAC CISCO SYS INC SR NT Al A+ B 5.50 212212016 105.916 11,015 11,868 0.75 4.520 5.92
15 __ 172967ES CITIGROUP INC SR NT A2 A C 6.13 5/15/2018 101.112 14,947 15,284 0.97 6.563_ 7.16 _
20 30161MAE EXELON GENERATION CO A3 BBB _
B _
___
6.20 10/1/2017 86.001 20,069 17,510 1.11 8.497 6.50
139 3128MSZ0 FHLM POOL G04051 Aaa AAA - 6.00 _
2/112038 103.114 141,728 143,509 9.12 3.577 1.36
25 3133MLT8 FEDERAL HOME LN BKS Aaa AAA - _
5.25 211312009 100.563 25,940 25:637 1.63 0.414 0.12
50 3133X15Y FEDERAL HOME LN BKS Aaa AAA - 4.10 3/3012009 100.938 49,725 50,987 3.24 0.341 0.24
200 3133XM08 FEDERAL HOME LN BKS Aaa AAA - 5.00 11/1712017 114.656 233,734 230,534 14.65 3.099 7.49
20 3134A3EM FEDERAL HOME LN MTG Aaa AAA - 5.75 311512009 101.094 20,866 20,557 1.31 0.416 0.20
25 31359MH8 FEDERAL NATL MTG ASS Aaa AAA - 5.00 311512016 112.656 24,199 28,532 1.81 3.031 6.17
105 31359MHK FEDERAL NATL MTG ASS Aaa AAA - 5.50 3115!2011 109.344 110,959 116,512 _ 7.40 1.194 2.07
22 31371NBD FNMA POOL 256636 Aaa AAA - 5.50 31112037 102.085 21,739 22,051 1.40 2.605 0.48
100 3137EABA FEDERAL HOME LN MTG Aaa AAA - 5.13 1111712017 115.875 106,780 116,501 7.40 3.068_ _ 7.46_
100 __
3137EABU FEDERAL HOME LN MTG Aaa AAA - 3.13 _
10/2512010 103.531 100,276 104,547 6.64 1.154 1.75
23 31413GN7 FNMA POOL 945114 Aaa AAA - 5.75 _
811/2037 100.000 23,286 23,266 1.48 3.506 0.95
10 36200EUP GNMA I POOL 599190 Aaa AAA - 6.00 3115/2035 103.374 9,887 9,887 0.63 3.900 3.04
46 36291 W7H GNMA I POOL 640896 Aaa AAA - _
7.00 4/15/2035 103.984 49,324 47,992 3.05__ 4.426 _1.68
60 36291XMW GNMA I POOL 641273 Aaa AAA - 4.50 4/15!2035 102.162 58,582 61,411 3.90 3.650 3.12
20 38144LAC GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP At A B+ 5.45 11/1/2012
_ 95.391 20,135 19,260 1.22 6.634 3.38
15 428236A0 HEWLETT-PACKARD A2 A B- 4.50 _
3/1/2013 101.508 15,040 15,451 0.98 4.432 3.74
20 46625HHB JPMORGAN 8 CHASE & C Aa2 A+ B 4.75 511/2013 98.677 19,937 19,694 1.26 6.091 3.84
20 46625YNC A-4-FIXED RTJP MORGA Aaa AAA - 4.74 7/15!2042 78.395 19,095 15,758 1.00 12.263 5.03
30 46629PAE A-M-FIXED RTJP MORGA Aaa AAA - 5.37 5/15/2047 47.388 26,762 14,351 0.91 10.489 6.00
30 52108HU5 A-4-FIXED RTLB-UBS C Aaa AAA - 4.51 12115/2029 90.866 29,388 27,335 1.74 11.740 2.60
25 565849AD MARATHON OIL CORP SR Baal BBB+ B 6.00 101112017 85.267 25,030 21,692 1.38 8.410 6.55
20 58013MEB MCDONALDS CORP MED T A3 A B+ 5.80 10115/2017 106.937 20,416 21,632 1.37 4.821 7.04
15 595620AD MIDAMERICAN ENERGY C A2 A- B- 4.65 10/1/2014 95.150 14,073 14,447 0.92 5.648 4.96
20 61166WAF MONSANTO CO NEW SR N A2 A+ B+ 5.13 4115/2018 104.922 20,002 21,201 1.35 4.471 7.56
20 61747YCE MORGAN STANLEY FR 6% A2 A B+ 6.00 4/28!2015 86.273 19,806 17,465 1.11 5.981 5.22
15 713448BF PEPSICO INC SR NT 5. Aa2 A+ B+ 5.15 511512012 103.236 14,993 15,584 0.99 4.111 3.08
10 78387GAP SBC COMMUNICATIONS I A2 A B+ 5.10 9/1512014 98.299 9,621 9,980 0.63 5.449 4.87
15 806605AJ SCHERING PLOUGH CORP Baat A- B+ 6.00 911512017 98.991 14,994 15,114 0.96 6.150 6.76
20 907818CZ UNION PAC CORP NT 5. Baal BBB B- 5.75 11/1512017 94.821 19,992 19,111 1.21 6.527 6.94
50 912828HX UNITED STATES TREAS Aaa AAA - 2.13 413012010 102.391 49,607 51,377 3.26 0.324 1.31
25
35 92343VAJ
929766X2 VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
A-5-FIXED RTWACHOVIA A3
Aaa A
AAA B-
- 4.35
4.66 211512013
5115/2044 96.719
87.492 24,971
34,103 24,591
30,758 1.56
1.95 5.244
11.851 3.69
3.06
Total $1,582,193 ;1,573,840 100.0
PAGE 16
4~' Quarter 2008
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ i ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
• The current economic crisis was triggered by
falling home prices; unfortunately they continue
to tumble.
• Financial institutions have greatly reduced their
borrowings in an effort to repair decimated
balance sheets.
• On the other hand, the Fed is attempting to fill the
void, becoming the lender of last resort. While
probably necessary, the Fed's aggressive stance
could be inflationary at some point.
n% Chsnyss h The Cass Shipst Composlt~-70 Moms Mcs Index
~%
nn~::?~d
w%
zo% ~ zo%
75% Year-owr-Year \ 1 75%
Change
,o% ,o%
5% ~ 5%
0% ~
Quarter-over-Quarter
Change
-5% -5%
ror tirzma
dfJNt9gt ~d 9)%
70% ~.~% -70%
-15% -15%
20%
-20% -
f ~ F ~ ~ ~ ~ f ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ f
_'~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 17
4~' Quarter 2008
~' e~
r f
H istaric Bu ire O rtuni ? ~ : ~ ~_~~ :~
~N Y g p~ tY ,~
~~`
..
~ "~ ' ~ ,.
~. ~~ .~
• Investment grade corporates, asset-backed and
commercial mortgage-backed securities are all
trading at or near their "cheapest" levels ever.
• Residential MBS remain an attractive sector on
a historic basis
Fannl• Mar 30-Yrar Mortpapr Cprrads
2.W 2.80
1121Y2008
2 40 316/2008.7 385 2.324 2.40
10282008
2.20 &182006 120
1.00
11/102007 1113/08
1.~
1.60 8/1612007
5/6/1008 9/1S'200
1.40
1.20
1 00
0 80 ~Qe
r0. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ g
a a~ a ~ S as a a a
2.00
1.80
1.60
8
1 4G
1.20
1.00
0 80
Investment Crad~ Spreads
7tte Optlon•Adlusted spread 100.5} d the Merrill Investrnent Grade cotporese Master Index
3DD 7oD
650 Bs0
800 B00
+,5p 550
500 500
+sD +sD
+00 400 g
~~ 350 35D p
m m
300 3Q62306, 316 300
f Qn N2m2, 761
250 750
1?b2700, 203
700 700
150 ngn996.+u nl 160
SA 9/A05,r10 J'
100 .--.,~~ 100
i(?en999 fig ?2fi/:007, 6fi
50 50
~~~~~°s°sss"ss""~ ~~"a"sass"sass
a a a a_ a~ a_ a a a m m~ ~~ a a
Thr Mrrrill Lyneh ABi Mrstrr Inds
Option-P.dtusted Speed
1100 1.100
TODD 1000
900 000
800 800
700 700
S BW 60D ~
500 500
400 400
300 300
Merrell Lynch W3> Masrer Index
100 200
100 100
0 D
~ s ~ ~ 8 ~ _ r ^' 3 ~ g 8 ~ o
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ a 3 $ ~ ~ ~ ~
4~' Quarter 2008
~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 18
Rockwood Capital Advisors, LLC
721 Emerson Road, Suite 565
St. Louis, MO 63141
314-962-8336 • toll -free 1-888-962-8336
rockwoodcapital.com