HomeMy WebLinkAboutDocumentation_Pension Public Safety_Tab 15_11/02/2009^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ^ ^ ~ ^ ~ s ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ^
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Rockwood Capital Advisors ~ ..~ ~.:~
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Village of Tequesta
Public Safety
Officers' Pension Fund
Third Quarter 2009
Review
November 02, 2009
~~~jROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS
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Investment Policy
Objectives
The Board recognizes that the obligations of the Fund are long-term and that the investment policy should be made with a view toward performance
and return over a number of years. The general investment objective, then, is to obtain a reasonable total rate of return -defined as interest and
dividend income plus realized and unrealized capital gains or losses - ommensurate with the Prudent Investor Rule and any other applicable
statute.
Reasonable consistency of return and protection of assets against the inroads of inflation are paramount. However, the volatility of interest rates and
securities markets make it necessary to judge results within the context of several years rather than over short periods of two years or less.
Perforrnance
The performance of the total Fund will be measured for rolling three and five year periods and compared to the return of a portfolio comprised of
60% S&P 500 Stock Index and 40% Barclays Intermediate Government/Credit Bond Index. On a relative basis, performance for the combined
portfolio over three to five year periods is expected to be in the 40% of the PSN Universe. Additionally, on an absolute basis, performance for the
combined portfolio over three to five year periods is expected to meet or exceed the actuarial earnings assumption of 8%.
Authorized Investments
All investments made or held in the fund shall be limited to, obligations issued by the United States Government or guaranteed as to principal and
interest by the US Govt. or by an agency of the US Govt. Additionally, stocks, commingled funds administered by national or state banks, mutual
funds and bonds or other evidence of indebtedness, issued or guaranteed by a corporation organized under the laws of the United States, any state
or organized territory of the United States or the District of Columbia. Fixed income securities are to be ranked Investment Grade by S & P or
Moody's and 90% of the equities shall be rated by a major rating service in the top three quality grades. Not more than 5% of the Fund's assets shall
be invested in the common stock, capital stock or debt of any one issuing company, nor shall the aggregate investment in any one issuing company
exceed 5% of the outstanding capital stock of the company. Foreign securities shall not exceed 10% of the value at cost of the fund.
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 1
3rd Quarter 2 009
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Portfolio Summary
Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund
Beginning
Market Ending
Market % of
Portfolio Est. Annual
Income Current
Yield
Fixed Income $1,513,302 $1,651,073 35.6% $59,125 3.6%
Equity $2,454,617 $2,754,735 58.9% $36,836 1.3%
Cash & Equivalents $125,342 $258,299 5.5% $439 0.2%
Accrued Income $14,464 $17,343 -- -- --
T~,+~I $4,107,725 $4,681,451 100% $96,400 2.1
Total Fund Performance
Fixed
InBCad~
,~ Cash &
~ Equivalents
5.5
Equity
58.9°°
15
10
5
0
-5
.'~~ Tequesta Public Safety
~ 60 % 5&P 500
40 % Barclays Int C/C
~~~jROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 2
3rd Quarter 2 009
Quarter One Year
^^^r^^^^^^^^^^^^^r^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
mar ~ _ ~ ~~ rte-.. •:
~ Market Value Summary
Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund Market Value Changes
Total $ Change this quarter I $573 726
3rd Quarter Total Fund Return I 8.3%
3rd Quarter Summary
Beginning Market Balance $4,107,725
Interest /Dividends 18,865
Contributions 240, 683
Net Disbursements (1,179)
Net Realized & Unrealized (CJL) 315,358
Ending Market Balance $4,681,451
Fiscal Year Summary
Beginning Market Balance (9/30/2008) $4,243,949
Interest /Dividends 94, 704
Contributions 553,431
Net Disbursements (97,836)
Net Realized & Unrealized (G/L) (112,796)
Ending Market Balance $4,681,451
c~I~~jROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 3
3rd Quarter 2 009
^^^^r^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
It's Over?
~~~`~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 4
3rd Quarter 2 Ol
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Equity
Two in a Row
The equity markets continued their upward trajectory in the just completed quarter as the S&P 500 posted its best third quarter gain since 1970, up
15.6%. It was also the best back-to-back quarters for the U.S stock market since 1975. Global markets also continued to surge as the EAF1= Index was
up over 18%.
As we head toward the last quarter of the year, U.S. and global economies seem to be fuming the comer, as it appears that the recession that started in
December 2007, is over. Stock markets around the world have been looking ahead and rallying as investors pin their hopes on improved economic data
and corporate profits.
It may confound investors that the markets should recover so robustly in the face of terrible economic headlines such as GDP contraction, failing banks,
massive federal and state budget deficits, a collapsing dollar and rising unemployment We will simply remind you that the equity markets are a futures
market The markets digest these realities quickly, as witnessed through the collapse in '08 and early '09, and then look ahead. The stock market
recovery to-date should be viewed as highly constructive. As a leading indicator, the equity markets are signaling that better economic times are ahead.
While we are grateful for the robust returns since the Spring '09 low, keeping pace with the powerful linear advance of the equity markets since then has
not been easy. As investor risk tolerance has improved, new themes are emerging and old themes are eroding at a rapid pace. This is certainly not
uncommon, as we have witnessed this scenario play out many times before. Rest assured, this is normal and within the confines of our discipline at
major inflection points of equity markets, such as the bear to bull market transition witnessed in March.
As you are likely aware, our methodology is predicated on investing in the dominant long-term trends (typically 18-24 months) that exist in the market
As a result, coming into the March low, in a continued effort to protect investor capital, our portfolio held a large concentration of more defensive areas
(i.e. consumer staples & health care) and little exposure to long-term underperforming areas such as financials. As this market transitions from bear to bull,
it is very normal that some of the more depressed, oversold areas (the long-term relative underperforming areas - "Dash For Trash") will garner the most
attention in the initial phase of recovery. This has certainly been the case, as sectors such as financials and basic materials have performed extremely well
off the bottom while defensive areas have underperformed (see accompanying chart on page 9). It may be helpful to think of the crushing bear market as
a rubber band that is stretched so far in one direction that when the tension is released it snaps back sharply. Areas that were stretched the most
(financials, basic materials etc.) have snapped back the most in the early stages of the recovery.
~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 5
3rd Quarter 2 009
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Equity
The world's best investors concede that trying to consistently pick tops and bottoms in the stock market over the long term is near impossible. As such,
prudence dictates that we wait for an accumulation of evidence to confirm to us that short-term price action indeed represents the start of a new bull
market rather than simply a brief countertrend rally within alonger-term decline. Absent such confirming evidence, an investor is simply gambling on the
markets and ignoring sound risk management
In our experience, confirming major theme changes typically takes between 3-6 months. As such, over the past several months, we have significantly
reduced exposure to defensive areas and added to improving areas such as consumer discretionary, information technology, financials, and foreign ADRs.
We feel we are in the later stages of this 3-6 month transition period and expect to finish the year very strong.
Looking ahead, we are increasingly confident that the equity markets are in the early stages of what will be a longer-term (5-10 year) bull market
Unprecedented global central bank cooperation, easing credit markets, extremely low interest rates and an unprecedented amount of "sideline" cash
(estimated to be 3-4 trillion dollars!) is a recipe for growth. It is clear that for the time being investors are not being rewarded for keeping cash reserves,
as money market rates are near zero. If human nature remains constant (which it always does), the rampant fear of the equity markets will soon tum to a
"fear of missing ouY', a powerful catalyst to send the market even higher. We are still in the first inning!!!
Performance
20 I 16.3
11.9
10
t ~~~jROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 6
3rd Quarter 2 009
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Equity Portfolio
Portfolio Summary
# of Stocks I 3 8
Beta 1.1
Yield 1.3
P/E 15.6x
Style Box
Val Cr Grw
Large Cap - 38.0%
Mid Cap - 56.7%
Small Cap - 5.3%
Average Market Cap $30.5 billion
Median Market Cap $13.6 billion
Top 10 Holdings
1. Hewlett Packard Co. 3.5%
2. Ross Stores Inc. 3.4%
3. Nike Inc. 3.3%
4. Medco Health Solutions Inc. 3.1
5. Nvidia Corp 3.1
6. Staples Inc. 3.0%
7. Henry Schein Inc. 3.0%
8. Int' I Business Corp. 3.0%
9.Oracle Systems Corp. 2.9%
10. Choice Hotels Int' I 2.9%
Five Best Impact
1. Nvidia Corp +43.3
2. Netgear Inc. +28.4
3. Ameriprise Finl Inc +28.3
4. Salesforce Com Inc +26.5
5. Nike Inc.
Five Worst Imp
1. Mosaic Co +25.4
act
-12.4
2. Lockheed Martin Corp. -7.9
3. Qwest Communications -6.2
4. O'Reilly Automotive -5.2
5. St Jude Medical Inc. -5.1
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 7
3rd Quarter 2 009
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Equity Analysis and Attributic
3rd Quarter 2 009
Health
28% Staples Discretionary Care
24% 23.0%
r
20%
16%
12.5% 13.
12% 11.5
9.2%
8%
._1
4°/a
0%
PerFormance
ao°io
30%
20% 18.9% 21.0
12.5% 0 12.4%
10% 10.5 /0 8.7% 8.9% 8.1
0%
-10%
-20%
Staples Discretionary Health Materials
Care
Rockwood
~ S&P 500
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE S
Sector Allocation
Info
Materials Tech Energy Industrial Tele Finance Util
Info Energy Industrial Tele Finance Util
Tech
~r^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^r^^^^^^^^^^^^
Sector Performance
Consumer Health
Staples Disc Care
160%
140%
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20
-40
-60
-80%
-100% J
"Beta Trade" Market Rally
(Previous Year vs. Current Rally)
Materials Info Tech Industrials Energy Finance Utilities
138.6
Year Ended 3/8/09 ^ Bull Rally (3/9 - 9/30)
Int'I
72.5
-54.5
~~~,ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 9
3rd Quarter 2009
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Historic Quarterly Relative Returr
14
12 -, ~,
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8 -l
Mar-00
Rockwood Strategic Equity Portfolio
Quarterly Performance Relative to S&P 500 Index
January 2000 -September 2009
Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03
67% Rate of Success
~ I~
Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09
~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE lO
3rd Quarter 2009
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Equity Transactions
Sold
Stock
July McDonald's Corp.
Owens & Minor Inc
Pepsico Inc.
Aug Chevron Corp.
Costco Wholesale Corp.
HJ Heinz Co.
Kroger Ca.
Wal Mart Stores Inc.
Sept Baxter Int'I Inc.
Helmerich & Payne Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Netgear Inc.
Stericycle Inc.
Purchased
Stock Mkt Cap Sector Industry Desc
July Nvidia Corp. MCap - Grw Info Tech Company develops and markets 3D graphics
processors for computers & games
O'Reilly Automotive I MCap - Grw I Con Desc I One of the largest U.S. retailers of car parts
and accessories
Scotts Co. MCap - Bld Materials Company is a leading Intl. supplier of products
for lawn & garden
Aug Ameriprise Financial Inc. MCap - Grw Financial Services Diversified Financial Services firm spun off
from AMEX in '05
Helmerich & Payne Inc. I MCap - Bld I Energy I Contract drilling services for oil & gas wells in
U.S. and Intl.
Morgan Stanley I LCap - Bld ( Financial Services) One of the largest financial services firms in
U
S
Mosaic Co. I
LCap - Grw I
Materials I .
.
Produces and markets phosphate and potash
crop nutrients for ag industry
Salesforce Com Inc. MCap - Grw Info Tech Leading provider of on-demand customer
relationship mgmt applications
Sept Affiliated Managers MCap - Grw Financial Services Holding company invests in investment
management firms
China Pete & Chem Co. I LCap - Bld ~mer Dep Receipt Integrated petroleum company based in
Beijing
Equinix Inc. I MCap - Grw I Info Tech I Provides Internet software and services to
enterprises and integrators
Ericsson LM Tel Co. I LCap - Grw ~ 4mer Dep Receipt Swedish co. is leading Intl. supplier of wireless
and wireline systems
NYSE Euronext I MCap - Grw ( Financial Services) Six equities and derivatives exchanges in six
countries
Commissions Paid
3rd Quarter Fiscal
2009 Year-to-Date
Lynch, Jones & Ryan $ 1,000 $ 3,030
. ~
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 11
3rd Quarter 2 009
t~ #~~ ~
,~ *~.
Equity Holdings ~ .: ~~,~
~" ~
3rd Quarter 2009
Exchange
Ticker
Com an Name
Shares
Unit Cost
Ori final Cost Market
Price Total Market
Value
% Mkt Current
Yield Annual
Income ISS
CGQ
- CASH & EQUIVALENTS 51,351 1.00 51,351 1.00 51,351 1.8 0.2 87 N/A
ACV ALBERTO-CULVER CO. NEW 2,200 27.41 60,309 27.68 60,896 2.2 1.1 660 0.31
AMG AFFILIATED MANAGERS 1,000 66.90 66,903 65.01 65,010 2.3 0.0 - 0.19
AMP AMERIPRISE FINL INC 2,200 28.31 62,292 36.33 79,926 2.9 1.9 1,496 0.68
BAX BAXTER INT'L INC. 0 57.01 286 0.0 1.8 0.43
BSX BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORP. 6,560 11.66 76,473 10.59 69,470 2.5 0.0 - 0.34
CHH CHOICE HOTELS INT'L 2,600 28.93 75,210 31.06 81,237 2.9 2.4 1,924 0.77
CRM SALESFORCE COM INC 1,400 45.01 63,008 56.93 79,702 2.8 0.0 - 0.12
EOIX EQUINIX INC 790 83.83 66,222 92.00 72,680 2.6 0.0 0.31
ERIC ERICSSON L M TEL CO 6,440 10.26 66,041 10.02 64,529 2.3 1.6 1,030 N/A
HEW HEWITTASSOCIATES INC. 1,940 37.39 72,538 36.43 70,674 2.5 0.0 - 0.26
HPO HEWLETT PACKARD CO. 2,065 33.67 69,518 47.21 97,654 3.5 0.7 661 0.47
HSIC HENRY SCHEIN INC. 1,525 43.67 66,594 54.91 83,738 3.0 0.0 - 0.92
IBM INTL BUSINESS CORP. 693 109.33 75,769 119.61 82,890 3.0 1.8 1,525 0.21
JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON 1,150 49.65 57,097 60.89 70,024 2.5 3.2 2,254 0.38
KO COCA COLA CO. 1,300 57.46 74,704 53.70 70,343 2.5 3.1 2,132 0.10
LOW LOWES COS INC 3,600 20.64 74,303 20.94 75,384 2.7 1.7 1,296 0.58
LSTR LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC. 1,992 43.64 86,933 38.06 75,816 2.7 0.5 359 0.11
MHS MEDCO HEALTH SOLUTIONS INC. 1,570 49.50 77,720 55.31 86,837 3.1 0.0 - 0.80
MOS MOSAIC CO 1,200 54.89 65,869 48.07 57,684 2.1 0.4 240 0.69
MS MORGAN STANLEY 2,150 30.27 65,074 30.88 66,392 2.4 0.7 430 0.19
NHP NATIONWIDE HEALTH PROPERTIE: 2,420 31.54 76,330 30.99 74,996 2.7 5.7 4,259 0.57
NKE NIKE INC. 1,420 61.18 86,871 64.70 92,229 3.3 1.6 1,420 0.05
NVDA NVIDIA CORP 5,720 10.49 59,976 15.03 85,972 3.1 0.0 - 0.42
NYX NYSE EURONEXT 2,390 28.08 67,117 28.89 69,047 2.5 4.2 2,868 0.23
ORCL ORACLE SYSTEMS CORP. 3,930 20.84 81,917 20.84 81,901 2.9 1.0 786 0.40
ORLY O'REILLYAUTOMOTIVE 1,620 38.13 61,778 36.14 58,547 2.1 0.0 - 0.01
PGR PROGRESSIVE CORP. 4,675 15.90 74,353 16.58 77,512 2.8 0.0 - 0.63
Q OWEST COMMUNICATIONS 14,270 4.45 63,430 3.81 54,369 1.9 8.4 4,566 0.29
QCOM QUALCOMM INC. 1,770 35.44 62,724 44.98 79,615 2.8 1.5 1,204 0.65
ROST ROSS STORES INC. 2,010 30.41 61,119 47.77 96,018 3.4 0.9 884 0.22
SIAL SIGMA-ALDRICH CORP. 1,390 54.73 76,078 53.98 75,032 2.7 1.1 806 0.29
SMG SCOTTS CO 1,770 35.38 62,616 42.95 76,022 2.7 1.2 885 0.18
SNP CHINA PETE & CHEM CO 740 89.07 65,910 85.15 63,679 2.3 2.4 1,531 N/A
SPLS STAPLES INC. 3,600 15.63 56,265 23.22 83,889 3.0 1.4 1,188 0.89
STJ ST. JUDE MEDICAL INC. 1,730 39.87 68,982 39.01 67,487 2.4 0.0 - 0.52
TJX TJX COMPANIES INC. NEW 2,090 25.41 53,100 37.15 77,644 2.8 1.3 1,003 0.94
YHOO YAHOO INC 3,870 16.16 62,545 17.81 68,925 2.5 0.0 - 0.86
YUM YUM BRANDS INC. 1,880 28.07 52,776 33.76 63,469 2.3 2.3 1,429 0.46
Portfolio Total $2,567,813 $2,808,871 100.0 1.3 $36,923
~~~jROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 12
Proxy Voting
Meeting
Shares Date Agenda Item
Record
Meeting
Shares Date Agenda Item
Mgmt Vote
Rec Cast
Nike, Inc. (NKE)
Mgmt Vote
Rec Cast
1,420 9/21/2009 Elect Directors For For
Ratify Auditors For For
Amend Qualified Employee Stock Purchase Plan For For
H.J. Heinz Co. (HNZ)
8/12!2009 Elect Directors For For
Ratify Auditors For For ^_
Provide Right to Call Special Meeting For For
Proxy Foatriote
Rockwood Capital Advisors, through our equity sub-adviser, Contravisory Investment Management, has retained Institutional Shareholder Services ("ISS") to coordinate and vote proxies with respect to client securities. Proxy voting is
an important right of shareholders and reasonable care and diligence must be undertaken to ensure that such rights are properly and timely exercised. When the Adviser has discretion to vote the proxies of its clients, they will be voted
by ISS in accordance with their Proxy Voting Guidelines in effect from time to time. The Adviser believes that having proxies voted by a professional proxy voting service which has the staff and resources to carefully evaluate voting
issues is in the best interests of its clients and will remove the possibility of encountering conflicts of interest on the part of the Adviser with respect to the voting of proxies.
The Compliance Officer has reviewed the most recent ISS Proxy Voting Guidelines and believes that having proxies voted in accordance with such guidelines is consistent with the best interests of the Adviser's clients. The Chief
Compliance Officer has also determined that ISS, as a leading proxy voting firm, has the capacity and competency to adequately analyze proxy issues. The Compliance Officer has also received information from ISS demonstrating to
the satisfaction of the Compliance Officer that ISS has adopted procedures to ensure that it is independent with respect to its proxy voting decisions, including using "Chinese wall" and other procedures to segregate its proxy voting
operations from its corporate servicing operations. ISS has agreed to notify the Adviser if it believes ISS faces a material conflict of interest with respect to voting the proxies of a particular issuer. The Compliance Officer will monitor ISS
to ensure that all proxies are being properly voted by periodically engaging in "spot reviews' of votes made by ISS. The Compliance Officer will also have ISS confirm annually that it is maintaining appropriate records as set forth below.
Client quarterly reports contain information with respect to each voted proxy about which the client portfolio held during the period, including (a) the name of the issuer, (b) the proposal voted upon, and (c) how ISS voted the client's
proxy. Additionally, the Compliance Officer will maintain files relating to the Adviser's proxy voting procedures in an easily accessible place. Records will be maintained and preserved for five years from the end of the fiscal year during
which the last entry was made on a record, with records for the first two years kept in the offices of the Adviser. Records of the following will be included in the files:
Copies of this proxy voting policy and procedures, and any amendments thereto.
A copy of each written client request for information on how ISS voted such client's proxies, and a copy of any written response to any (written or oral) client request for information on how ISS voted its proxies.
The Adviser has arranged with ISS to have ISS maintain and make available promptly upon request (i) copies of each proxy statement that is received for one of Adviser's clients, provided however that ISS and the Adviser may rely on
obtaining a copy of proxy statements from the SEC's EDGAR system for those proxy statements that are so available, (ii) a record of each vote that ISS casts far one of Adviser's clients and (iii) a copy of any document ISS created that
`** If there are no shares listed, a proxy was voted but shares were not held at the end of the quarter. Refer to prior holdings reports. "'
~~~,ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 13
3rd Quarter 2 009
Fixed Income
~f.
Is the Fed up do the Task?
As we mentioned in our Second Quarter comments, the current environment continues to exhibit "low visibility" from an economic standpoint One can
make a strong argument for both economic resurgence and continued recession. As a result, our client portfolios are rather "neutral" with respect to sector
allocations and durations relative to their assigned benchmarks.
While the direction of the economy and interest rates is quite uncertain over the intermediate term, we do feel that ultimately, when the economy
rebounds, we are likely to see sharply higher Treasury yields and higher inflation.
Investors are rightly concerned about the tremendous amount of liquidity that the Fed has injected into the banking system. The Fed, on the other hand,
continually offers assurances that they have the mechanisms in place to "shrink" the Fed balance sheet and drain liquidity from the banking system in
order to prevent inflationary pressures from building.
We have no doubt that the Fed has the technical expertise to drain reserves in order to prevent the economy from overheating. The vital question is:
does the Fed have the intestinal fortitude to drain reserves in a preemptive manner. Will the Fed take away the punch bowl in the face of howling
politicians and looming elections? To be clear, if the Fed is to nip any inflationary pressures in the bud, it will have to do so before the data clearly
shows that the economy is cooking again. If the Fed waits until all lights are green, it will be too late and the inflation genie will be out of the bottle.
Frankly, we have grave doubts that the Fed will have the guts to make the unpopular moves required to navigate this inflationary minefield.
US Treasury Yield Curves Sector Index Returns
0
° 60% - -
5% 50% ®3Q 2009
^ YTD 2009
4% - 40%
3% ~ 30% -
~ ' 20% -
2%- ~~
' 9/30/2009 10% -~
1 % - l 6/30/2009 0%
- - - 9/30/2008
0% -T- _~,~_, _ -10%
3 2 5 10 30
mos yrs yrs yrs yrs Tsy Agy MBS Credit CMBS HY
~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 14
3rd Quarter 2 009
Fixed Income
In addition, given the ballooning federal budget deficit, bond investors fear the tidal wave of Treasury bond issuance that will be required to pay the bills.
Many analysts expect interest rates to soar as an inducement for investors (especially foreigners) to take down this unprecedented amount of debt For the
12 quarters ended September 2008, only once did foreigners fail to purchase an amount of US Treasuries equal to 100% of all issuance. For Q1
2009, foreigners purchased only 24 percent of the Treasuries issued. In other words, domestic investors had to take down 76% of the Treasuries sold in
Ql . As the volume of Treasury issuance continues to grow, the upward pressure on yields will continue to increase.
In summary, the economy may indeed falter in the coming months. Housing prices continue to fall (even though sales appear to be stabilizing) and
commercial real estate continues to slide. Unemployment is approaching 10%, and consumers are reluctant to spend. So, interest rates could fall in the
near term. However, barring a major shift toward restraint in government spending and an unlikely resurgence in Fed fortitude, we look for interest rates
to move higher sometime in the latter half of 2010 as the economy begins to rebound. In this environment, longer term fixed income securities would
underperform those with shorter final maturities.
Performance
15
10
5
0
-5
Tequesta Public Safety
^ Barclays Int. G/C
~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 15
3rd Quarter 2009
Quarter One Year Two Years Three Years Four Year Inception
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ A ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ i ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ A ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Fixed Por~olio Structure
Characteristics
Tequesta Public Barclays Int.
Safety G/C
Average Maturity 3.8 yrs 4.5 yrs
Effective Duration 3.3 yrs 3.9 yrs
Yield to Maturity 2.5% 2.6%
Effective Maturity
Tequesta Public Safety
Portfolio
Corporates
34%
Cash
11%
U.S.Treasuries
34%
Agencies
11%
Corporates
30%
Index
International
4%
Agencies
20%
U.S. Treasuries
46%
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 16
3rd Quarter 2009
5 to 10 years 10+ years
^ Barclays Int. G/C
Mortgages
ABS/CMBS 6%
3%
^^^^^^r^r^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Fixed Holdings
Par
Cusip
Issuer Moody's /
S8P Coupon
Rate Maturity
Date Market
Price Original
Cost Market
Value % of
Port
YTM
Eff Dur CG
Grade
207 - CASH & EQUIVALENTS Aaa /AAA 0.00 10/01/2009 100.00 206,949 206,949 11.05 0.100 0.08 ---
15 009363AG AIRGAS INC GTD SR NT 4.5%14 Baa3 /BBB 4.50 09/15/2014 101.77 14,982 15,303 0.82 4.427 4.47 ---
30 0258166A AMERICAN EXPRESS CO SR NT 7.2 A3 /BBB+ 7.25 05/20/2014 112.36 31,503 34,511 1.84 4.248 3.93 B
20 06051GDX BANK AMER FDG CORP MTN-L 5.65 A2 /A 5.65 05/01/2018 98.74 18,688 20,219 1.08 5.757 6.75 C+
40 06739FFZ BARCLAYS BK PLC SR NT 5.2%14 Aaa /AA- 5.20 07/10/2014 105.63 40,465 42,721 2.28 3.895 4.24 ---
25 07388VA6 A-2-FIXED RTBEAR STEARNS COMMER~ Aaa /AAA 5.33 01/12/2045 100.15 25,137 25,148 1.34 5.324 2.25 ---
10 12189TBA BURLINGTON NORTHN SANTA FE CP Baa1 /BBB 5.75 03/15/2018 108.63 9,843 10,888 0.58 4.512 6.94 B
15 14041NEF A-FIXEDRTCAPITALONE MULTI-ASSET Aaa/AAA 4.85 04/15/2011 105.25 14,981 15,820 0.84 1.377 1.48 ---
20 161571CP A-FIXED RTCHASE ISSUANCE TRUST20 Aaa /AAA 4.65 03/15/2013 107.20 19,999 21,481 1.15 2.480 3.17 ---
15 172967ES CITIGROUP INC SR NT 6.125%18 A3 /A 6.13 05/15!2018 98.46 14,947 15,117 0.81 6.365 6.63 C
15 172967EY CITIGROUP INC SR NT 6.375%14 A3 /A 6.38 08/12/2014 103.39 15,184 15,639 0.84 5.464 4.18 ---
35 219350AT CORNING INC NT 7%051524 Baal /BBB+ 7.00 05/15/2024 107.71 34,680 38,643 2.06 6.190 9.37 B+
25 25179MAH DEVON ENERGY CORP NEW SR NT 6 Baal /BBB+ 6.30 01/15/2019 110.33 25,240 27,915 1.49 4.902 7.27 B+
10 2605436X DOW CHEM CO SR NT CR SENS 19 Baa3 /BBB- 8.55 05/15/2019 112.42 9,979 11,569 0.62 6.771 6.69 B+
15 26884LAA EQT CORP SR NT 8.125%19 Baal /BBB 8.13 06/01/2019 114.14 15,208 17,581 0.94 6.160 6.89 ---
20 29379VAE ENTERPRISE PRODS OPER LLC GTD Baa3 /BBB- 4.60 08/01/2012 103.62 19,990 21,007 1.12 3.251 2.64 ---
20 30161 MAE EXELON GENERATION CO LLC SRN A3 /BBB 6.20 10/01/2017 109.14 20,089 22,447 1.20 4.811 6.36 B
100 3137EABU FEDEF:AL HOME LN MTG CORP REFR Aaa /AAA 3.13 10/25/2010 102.72 100,276 104,073 5.56 0.571 1.04 ---
9 36200EUP GNMA I POOL 599190 Aaa /AAA 6.00 03/15/2035 106.09 9,777 10,033 0.54 3.702 3.12 ---
45 36291 W7H GNMA I POOL 640896 Aaa /AAA 7.00 04/15/2035 108.05 48,721 49,249 2.63 4.298 2.67 ---
59 36291XMW GNMA I POOL 641273 Aaa /AAA 4.50 04/15!2035 102.00 57,592 60,279 3.22 4.012 3.39 ---
35 36962G4F GENERAL ELEC CAP CORP MTN BE Aa2 /AA+ 4.38 09/21/2015 99.04 34,907 34,705 1.85 4.543 5.28 ---
30 38141EA3 GOLDMAN SACHS GRP INC MTN BE Al /A 6.00 05/01/2014 108.75 31,060 33,351 1.78 3.793 3.98 B+
30 46625HGY JPMORGAN CHASE & CO SR NT 6%0 Aaa /A+ 6.00 01/15/2018 107.33 29,864 32,580 1.74 4.831 6.67 B
25 565849AD MARATHON OIL CORP SR NT 6%17 Baal /BBB+ 6.00 10/01/2017 105.11 25,030 27,027 1.44 5.211 6.35 B
25 59217EBW METROPOLITAN LIFE GLBL FDG144A FF Aa2 /AA- 5.13 06/10/2014 105.03 25,028 26,653 1.42 4.068 4.16 ---
15 595620AD MIDAMERICAN ENERGY CO FR 4.65 A2 /A- 4.65 10/01/2014 106.31 14,073 16,295 0.87 3.273 4.45 B-
35 61747YCE MORGAN STANLEY FR 6%042815 A2 /A 6.00 04/28/2015 105.90 33,665 37,956 2.03 4.654 4.70 B+
10 72650F;AV PLAINS ALL AMERN PIPELINE L P Baa3 /BBB- 4.25 09/01/2012 102.80 10,136 10,360 0.55 3.206 2.73 ---
100 7591 EAAB REGIONS BK ALA MTN FDIC TLGP Aaa /AAA 3.25 12/09/2011 104.03 103,813 105,042 5.61 1.376 2.11 ---
20 78010JCV ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND Aaa / A+ 4.88 08/25/2014 101.66 20,063 20,429 1.09 5.048 4.34 ---
15 806605AJ SCHERING PLOUGH CORP NT 6%17 Baal /A- 6.00 09/15!2017 111.56 14,994 16,773 0.90 4.272 6.57 B+
15 816851AN SEMPRA ENERGY NT 6.5%16 Baal /BBB+ 6.50 06/01/2016 110.54 14,967 16,950 0.91 4.642 5.47 B-
20 907818CZ UNION PAC CORP NT 5.75%17 Baal /BBB 5.75 11/15/2017 107.20 19,992 21,875 1.17 4.585 6.57 B-
70 912828JZ UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 1.750 Aaa /AAA 1.75 01/31/2014 98.75 68,205 69,331 3.70 2.053 4.21 ---
~~~~ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 17
3rd Quarter 2 OC
^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ~ f ^ ! ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Fixed Holdings
Par
Cusip
Issuer Moody's /
S&P Coupon
Rate Maturity
Date Market
Price Original
Cost Market
Value % of
Port
YTM
Eff Dur CG
Grade
220 912828KG UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 1.375 Aaa /AAA 1.38 03/15/2012 100.48 220,387 221,199 11.81 1.102 2.41 ---
150 912828KU UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 0.875 Aaa /AAA 0.88 05/31/2011 100.24 148,729 150,798 8.05 0.665 1.64 ---
100 912828KX UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 1.875 Aaa /AAA 1.88 06/15/2012 101.56 100,746 102,116 5.45 1.213 2.63 ---
40 912828LJ UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 3.625 Aaa /AAA 3.63 08/15/2019 102.64 40,304 41,242 2.20 3.222 8.58 ---
15 912828LM UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 1.375 Aaa /AAA 1.38 09/15/2012 99.83 14,972 14,983 0.80 1.435 2.91 ---
35 912828LW UNITED STATES TREAS NTS 1.000 Aaa / NR 1.00 09/30/2011 100.08 35,005 35,028 1.87 0.961 1.98 ---
25 92343VAJ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC NT A3 /A 4.35 02/15/2013 105.13 24,971 26,422 1.41 2.746 3.16 B-
25 94974BET WELLS FARGO CO MTN BE SR NT 3 Al /AA- 3.75 10/01/2014 99.50 24,959 24,875 1.33 5.023 4.56 ---
Portfolio Total $1,810,100 $1,872,581 100%
-~~~,ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 18
3rd Quarter 2 009
With US Treasury Yields Near Historic Lows..
Concern .. .
BC Int Government Index
(Yield bo Maturity)
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0
0.0%
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
ff Rates Total Dollar
Increase Return Loss*
+5% -14.3% -$1,431,846
+4% -11.4% -$1,139,000
+3% -8.3% -$834,000
+2% -5.1 % -$511,000
+1% -1.7% -$172,000
`assumes $10,000,000 beginning portfolio value
~~~`,ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 19
3rd Quarter 2 009
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^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ w ^ ^
~ Wil Foreigners Finance our Deficit?
Percentage Of Treasury Issuance Bought By Foreigners
300% 300%
250% Blue =All Foreigners seP-oT
Red=China zso%
250%
200% 200%
150% 150%
109%
100 % ~ 100%
50% Mar-07 42% ~%
27
23°/ 24 % 21%
0% ei 0%
-50
-50 %
N N M M M M ~y a V p N ~ N N O N r r r m m W W O W m
Q Q Q Q O O O O Q O Q Q O 4 4 O O O O O Q O 4 O O O O ~ n
_ ~ U ~ _ _ d
- G: N 5
k
._ <. _ ~ ,.
to C ~ U O ~
_ .. ~
One of the problems of increased US Treasury issuance is finding
"homes" for all this debt. In recent years, the US has relied
heavily on countries such as China and Japan to finance our
deficit. However, foreigners have been purchasing a decreasing
percentage of our debt, which will eventually force interest rates
higher to entice investors.
Due to the ballooning federal budget deficit, the increase in
issuance of US Treasury securities (federal borrowing) has been
astounding.
~~~,ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 22
3rd Quarter 2009
Total Treasury Gross issuance (Amount Offered) For The Week
Atl Treasury Bilk, Notes And Bonds
Credit Spreads
The yield spread of mortgage pass-through securities vs.
Treasuries has narrowed substantially since March. Mortgages
have done well over the past 2 quarters, however, they appear to
be somewhat "expensive" at current levels.
Investrnent Glade Spreads
Tha OptionAdjusted Sprud (OAS) drie Menil hres4neri Orade Corp orate Master Index
700 700
i vs mm, Esl
6eo a~onoo9~
s9e
eoo eoo
660 '~
600 '~
460 4~
400 4X1
M 3a0 r
~ m
m
300 ~nma, aic 300
r on n gym, a>t
260 '~
r zsrmo, zm
200 200
X60 1 7lY1996, t U
1~
srismns. iio
100 100
$f16l1 Sea, E9 3~tOtd1~,T9 zr~nmt, as
6p ',A
Investment grade corporate bonds have staged a tremendous
rally since December 2008. At an average yield spread of 2.5%
over Treasuries, corporate bonds still remain attractive relative to
the 2004-2007 period.
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 21
3rd Quarter 2009
Will
Percentage Of Treasury Issuance Bought By Foreigners
300% 300%
250% Blue =All Foreigners Sep-07
250%
Red =China zso%
200% 200%
150% 150%
109
100% 100°/
50% Mar-07 42% ~%
27
23% 24 % 21 %
0% 6~ 0%
50
-50 % -
N N M M th M O 1C1 ~ h~ (O ~Q r r r r m N W
n c~y 4 4 ~ °O}1 ~ ~ p~~~p R 4 ry~ {RJ1 ~ R (~~ly YVy R °~ n tS Q t ~d ~ C
Foreigners Finance our Deficit?
One of the problems of increased US Treasury issuance is finding
"homes" for all this debt. In recent years, the US has relied
heavily on countries such as Ch;na and Japan to finance our
deficit. However, foreigners have been purchasing a decreasing
percentage of our debt, which will eventually force interest rates
higher to entice investors.
Total Treasury Gross ksuance (Amount Offered] For The Week
RI Treaslry Bic, Notes And Bonds
i326 1325
7300 1300
iZ76 1275
S2S0 1250
5226 8226
~ Y1D0 1200
a a
o 5776 1176 0
o e
0 17,'90 5160 0
® i123 5126 m
i100 2G'JVeekAverage 8100
i76 i76
S60 S60
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io io
a ~ s s °s ~ g "s s s s s ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
C C C C C C C C C C G C
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ? o ~ ~ ~ o ~ m ~
Due to the ballooning federal budget deficit, the increase in
issuance of US Treasury securities (federal borrowing) has been
astounding.
ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS PAGE 22
3rd Quarter 2009