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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda_Miscellaneous_02/08/1991_Finance & Administration Committee V V � VILLAGE OF TEQUESTA Post Office Box 3273 357 Tequesta Drive Tequesta, Florida 33469 -0273 • (407) 575 -6200 ° FAX: (407) 575 -6203 � 4 couH E'.=NANCE AND A1[3M=W=2 CCUMM='I'TEE MEET=NG AG ENDA E'R.=DAY E'ESRIJARY 8 , 19+31 5:301 P_M_ I. CALL TO ORDER AND ROLL CALL II. APPROVAL OF AGENDA III. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS FOR THE VILLAGE OF TEQUESTA GENERAL FUND. IV. ADJOURNMENT /jmm Recycled Paper v f it VILLAGE OF TEQUESTA Post Office Box 3273 357 Tequesta Drive Tequesta, Florida 33469 -0273 • (407) 575 -6200 ° FAX: (407) 575 -6203 � 4 coo "' MEMURANDi.7M TO: Village Council FROM: Thomas G. Bradford, Village Manager DATE: February 5, 1991 SUBJECT: Finance and Administration Committee Meeting on February 8, 1991 Attached hereto, please find information that you will find useful relative to the purpose of the Finance and Administration Committee Meeting which has been called for Friday, February 8. I requested the Financial Analysis to be done for three reasons: o Since we are in a recession, what -is the financial impact, particularly to revenues, for the fiscal year we are currently in (FY 91)? o In addition to recessionary impacts on this current fiscal year, what is the short term impact of expenditure and revenue trends on the forthcoming fiscal year (FY 92) millage rate? o Based on historical revenue and expenditure trends, what is the long -term future on millage rates if trends continue? The Analysis reveals that the recession is taking a toll on Village revenues to the estimated tune of $114,500 this fiscal year. This is no cause for panic, as expenditure adjustments can be made to eliminate or reduce the impact from this revenue shortfall. Options that I r­.commend for consideration would be: o Eliminate employment contracts in Departments where shortfalls are being experienced. o Freeze all non- er:sential hiring. o Place a ban :s-, all out of town travel to seminars and conventions. o Review all depL.rtmental operating budgets and scale back where appropriate. Recycled Paper MEMO: Village Council February 5, 1991 Page 2- o Review all departmental capital purchases for postponement or elimination. o -Revise the Capital Improvement Program to delay certain projects and, thus, the amount of funding necessary from the General Fund. This review could be accomplished in approximately one week and the findings and recommendations reported back to this Committee or the full Council at the earliest possible date. 9 As for the short term future, FY ,9�, the goal should be to not increase the current millage rate. Many options are available to the Village to make this happen and I would recommend that we have the benefit of more information relative to the impact of this recession before we make.any radical decisions. The recessionary impacts will be much clearer this summer as we go into budget hearings where we can deal with impediments, if any, to the goal of maintaining the same millage rate. As for the long term projections, I would recommend that they be seen for what they are, this being estimates based upon historical extrapolation. Relatively minor policy adjustments made in the near future can cause these numbers and resultant tax rates to change significantly. TGBjkrb Attachment f VILLAGE OF TEQUESTA Post Office Box 3273 • 357 Tequesta Drive Tequesta, Florida 33469 -0273 • (407) 575 -6200 f 4 ° FAX: (407) 575 -6203 P�CN Coo I Memorandum To: Thomas G. Bradford, Village Manager From: Wendy K. Harrison, Assistant to the Village Manager Date: February 4, 1991 Subject: Financial Projections- Tequesta General Fund As you requested, I have undertaken an analysis of potential future millage rates. Please find attached the following items: 1. Explanation of Assumptions and Methodology (3 pages). 2. A projection of future revenues and expenditures, beginning from updated information from the Finance Department on anticipated revenues for Fiscal Year 90/91. 3. Historical data on revenues and expenditures, showing the individual and average percent changes for each source of revenue and area of expenditure for the Fiscal Years '84 through '91. 4. Historical data on taxable property values in the Village of Tequesta from Fiscal Year '79 through FY91 and inflation rates. This page shows total property value and, for the years since FY85, indicates the value after deletion of annexations and new construction. Annual inflation data is shown for the United States and the Atlanta district. The most significant items of note include: • The average annual rate of expenditure growth since 1984 (12.51 %) exceeds the average rate of increase in revenues (11.27%), reflecting utilization of fund balance. • Projected revenues for the current fiscal year (90/91) are less than budgeted revenues by $114,500. • The amount of increased revenue or decreased expenditure required to stay at the current millage rate next fiscal year is $209,535. • Fiscal Years 91/92 and 92/93 are the most difficult financially, primarily due to the minimal increases in property values projected because of the current recession. Recycled Paper r VILLAGE OF TEQUESTA Post Office Box 3273 • 357 Tequesta Drive Tequesta, Florida 33469 -0273 • (407) 575 -6200 FAX: (407) 575 -6203 � 4 v P7CH couNt+ Five Year Projections of Revenues/ Expenditures Assumptions and Methodology The object of the analysis was to project millage rates for the five -year period for Fiscal Years 91/92 through 95/96. Historical rates of change were used and, where appropriate, adjusted as indicated below. The methodology used is as follows: • FY92 through FY96 General Fund Expenditures and Revenues by budget category were projected individually for each Fiscal Year. In general, expenditures and revenues were projected to continue to change at the average rate experienced from Fiscal Year 1983/84 through FY 90/91. Supporting documentation of the historical figures is attached following the projections. • Total Expenditures were equated to Total Revenue Required. Therefore, General Fund fund balance was assumed to remain constant. • The historical average increase in property value in the Village of Tequesta from 1978 through 1990 was 11.59 %. Data on the increase due to new construction and annexations was available for Fiscal Years 1985 through 1991. When these amounts were deducted from the total increases, the average annual increase (indicating the change in value of existing development) dropped to 4.58 %. • The Village's property tax base as of January, 1991, is 76% residential and 24% commercial. The best data available indicate that commercial property will feel the effects of the current recession more than residential. Therefore, a zero increase in value in commercial property assessments between January, 1990, and January, 1991, (the basis for the Fiscal Year 91/92 millage) has been projected. Residential property has been projected to increase by 4% during this period. This figure is consistent with past increases in existing stock and is slightly below the current annual inflation rate of 5.4 %. Fiscal Year 92/93 property taxes are based on January, 1992, values. To account for the ongoing recession, coupled with a rising inflation rate, residential property has been projected to keep pace with inflation and increase by 5% in value, while commercial value has been projected at no increase for January, 1992. • The property value for subsequent years (Fiscal Years 1994 through 1996) is projected to experience an annual increase in value of 7 %, which is between the gross historical average of 11.59% and the average for existing development only of 4.58 %. It would be overly conservative to assume no new development, but, conversely, it may be optimistic to assume the historic rate of increase to continue. 1 Recycled Paper • Revenues other than property taxes were projected first. The non -tax total was then subtracted from the total revenue required (or total expenditures) to determine property tax revenue required. • Property tax revenue was divided by Property Value and a 97% collection rate was used. The actual collection rate in the past ten years has averaged above 99 %. Expenditums 1. Police Department- the FY91 budget (which does not include the set -aside for Public Safety) has been projected to continue to rise at the historic rate of increase of 9.75% annually. 2. Fire - Rescue- the FY91 budgeted amount has been increased by the historic average of 12.23% annually. 3. General Government has been projected at the historic average increase of 12.16% annually. General Government includes Legislative, Executive, Finance, Clerk, Legal and Planning Services and the General Government department. Capital Improvement Fund transfers are projected separately below. 4. Building Department expenditures have been projected at the historic average increase of 15.11% annually. 5. Transportation expenditures have been increased each year at the historical average of 11.01 %. 6. Solid Waste costs (Physical Environment) have been increased by the historical average of 15.75% (after adjusting for one -time decrease from new SWA billing procedure). The cost of residential service was added as Charges for Services revenue, so this expenditure item is offset by corresponding revenues. 7. Culture /Recreation expenditures have been projected to continue at the historic annual increase of .73 %. 8. Transfers to the Capital Improvement Fund have been entered as budgeted in Five -Year Capital Improvement Program. 9. Other Operating has been projected at the historic average of 12.52% annually. This category includes Civil Defense and Health Services (mosquito control). 2 Revenues 1. Licenses /Permits revenue includes Building permits and other licenses and permits. Occupational license revenue is designated as an Improvement Bond Revenue Fund source. Future licenses /permit revenues are projected to increase by 6%, which is below the historic average of 11.98 %, to account for the recession and slowdown in development. It should be noted that, in general, when construction of new buildings decreases, renovation of existing property increases, and this serves to lessen the impact of the development downturn. 2. Intergovernmental revenue includes Cigarette tax, local option gas tax, countywide registrations, a one -half cent local option tax and other sources. The PY91 numbers have been adjusted 5% downward from the budgeted amounts in light of updated projections provided by the State Department of Revenue. Following years are projected to increase by the historic average of 7.46 %. 3. Charges for Services revenue includes zoning fees, building inspection service, tennis court lights and other charges. The largest single source is charges for Solid Waste service to residential (as this is billed to customers) plus other charges which have been increased by the historical rate of 19.92% annually. This revenue source has experienced the largest average increase of all revenue categories studied. 4. Interfund Transfer revenue is a significant revenue source consisting of transfers to the General Fund.from the Improvement Bond Revenue Fund. The IBRF receives by indenture important sources of revenue such as Occupational Licenses, Franchise Fees, Utility Taxes and State Revenue Sharing. The FY91 projections, upon which following years are based, have been adjusted downwards to account for anticipated revenues. Although this revenue source has averaged an annual increase of 6.4 %, the past two years have experienced increases of .28% and 2.03 %, and so future years have been projected at 3 %. 5. Intra- Government Transfers is the administrative fee paid by the Water Department to the General Fund, which has been increased by 9.79% annually, the historical rate of increase. 6. Fines /Forfeits is primarily court fines, with a relatively small contribution from parking tickets. This has been projected at a constant $41,000 per year as the average change for this source over the last eight years is - 1.58 %, but the range has varied from a high of $53,000 in FY88 to $38,000 in FY90. 7. Miscellaneous revenue is primarily interest revenue and has been calculated at a conservative 5% increase. 3 General Fund Financial Projections Fiscal Year GF Expenditures 91 92 93 94 95 96 Police Department $1,225,545 $1,345,036 $1,476,177 $1,620,104 $1,778,064 $1,951,425 Fire - Rescue $573,925 $644,116 $722,891 $811,301 $910,523 $1,021,880 General Government $608,645 $682,656 $765,667 $858,772 $963,199 $1,080,324 Building Dept. $220,915 $254,295 $292,719 $336,949 $387,862 $446,468 Transportation $414,080 $459,670 $510,280 $566,462 $628,829 $698,063 Solid Waste $284,725 $329,569 $381,476 $441,559 $511,104 $591,603 Culture /Recreation $131,555 $141,159 $151,463 $162,520 $174,384 $187,114 Transfer to CIF $173,250 $181,000 $190,000 $199,500 $210,000 $220,000 Other Oper. Exp $9,415 $10,592 $11,916 $13,405 $15,081 $16,966 Total Operating Exp. $3,642,055 $4,048,093 $4,502,590 $5,010,572 $5,579,047 $6,213,844 % increase 11.15% 11.23% 11.28% 11.35% 11.38% Revenue Required $3,642,055 $4,048,093 $4,502,590 $5,010,572 $5,579,047 $6,213,844 NON -TAX SOURCES Licenses /Permits $88,800 $94,128 $99,776 $105,762 $112,108 $118,834 Intergovernmental $351,240 $377,443 $405,600 $435,857 $468,372 $503,313 Charges for Service $282,865 $344,727 $399,654 $463,357 $537,245 $622,951 Inter -Fund Transfer $800,000 $824,000 $848,720 $874,182 $900,407 $927,419 Intra -Govt Transfer $105,000 $115,280 $126,565 $138,956 $152,560 $167,496 Fines /Forfeit $45,500 $41,000 $41,000 $41,000 $41,000 $41,000 Misc. $76,200 $80,010 $84,010 $88,211 $92,622 $97,253 Total Non -Tax Rev. $1,749,605 $1,876,587 $2,005,325 $2,147,326 $2,304,314 $2,478,266 Operating Expend. $3,642,055 $4,048,093 $4,502,590 $5,010,572 $5,579,047 $6,213,844 Tax Revenue Required $1,892,450 $2,171,506 $2,497,265 $2,863,247 $3,274,733 $3,735,578 PROJECTED TAXES Property Value $352,054,464 $362,756,920 $376,541,683 $402,899,600 $431,102,572 $461,279,753 Property Tax Rev. $1,802,000 $2,171,506 $2,497,265 $2,863,247 $3,274,733 $3,735,578 MILLAGE REQUIRED 5.4085 6.1713 6.8372 7.3264 7.8311 8.3488 % decrease /increase 14.10% 10.79% 7.15% 6.89% 6.61% Amount Req. for no $209,535 $173,530 $108,532 $116,306 $123,244 Millage increase 29- Jan -91 Historical Data VOT Property Value After deduct Increase of Fiscal Year '79 $99,797,844 Constr /Annex Exist.Proprty 1 80 $103,633,468 3.84% Only 1 81 $116,792,652 12.70% '82 $154,638,497 32.40% '83 $210,204,447 35.93% '84 $209,804,188 -0.19% '85 $218,153,678 3.98 %$215,512,082 2.72% '86 $229,903,728 5.39 %$224,186,870 2.77% '87 $244,470,485 6.34 %$235,958,886 2.63% 1 88 $269,314,508 10.16 %$261,452,046 6.95% 1 89 $273,054,495 1.39 %$268,765,449 -0.20% 1 90 $305,061,255 11.72 %$293,459,066 7.47% 1 91 $352,054,464 15.40 %$348,729,771 14.31% avg. change 11.59% avg. change 4.58% Annual Average Inflation Rate U.S. Atlanta 1 81 10.3 12.3 '82 6.1 6.4 '83 3.2 4.1 '84 4.3 4.2 '85 3.6 4.6 '86 1.9 3.0 '87 3.6 3.8 '88 4.1 3.3 1 89 4.8 4.7 1 90 5.4 N/A Avg. Ann. Inflation 4.73 5.16 ' ��� ��l� �T���� ~���x�/`����~ ��� �����v���^»�r� Post Office Box 3273 ^ 357TepuoumDrive 7eguem1a, Florida 33464'O273 ^ (4U7)575'$200 t FAX: (407)575'62O3 COU14 TO: Thomas G. Bradford, Village Marn ~ FROM: Bill C. Kascavelis, Finance Di Village Clerk DATE: February 4, 1991 SUBJECT: Revenue Analysis of the General Fund and Improvement Bond Revenue Fund for FY 1991 Attached is a working paper showing actual revenues received through December 31, 1990 - the first quarter of FY 91, and a projection of anticipated revenues extrapulating the data through the end of this fiscal year. The analyvis indicates revenue projections for FY 91, will be approximately $114 less than originally projected. The most significant shortfall of revenue is attributable to building permits which is $67,700. less than originally projected. Intergovernmental revenues are currently being projected at $38,790. less than originally projected. Also attached is a summary review of General Fund revenues and expenditures for the FY 91 budget showing a negative financial impact on fund balance of ($105,980.), resulting with a projected General Fund fund balance at the close of this FY of $504,700. The financial projections presented are not indicative of a financial crisis this fiscal year; however, as a result of the fund balance cash position projection for September 30, 1991, responsible financial management dictates that future year budgeted expenditures shall not exceed revenue projections. BCK:moc Recycled Paper General Fund FY 91 Budget Fund Balance 9/30/90 $ 610,701. Total Revenues Budgeted $3,395,B61. Total Revenues Projected (12/31) . 2 a 281 Y80, (114.481.) Total Revenue and Balance Total Expenditures Budgeted 3,642 Less Refuse & Recycling (Trans. Utility Fund) (270,225.) Additions Req. Police Dept.(Salary/Fringes) 12,530. 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