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Financial Forecast And
Revenue Sufficienc Anal i
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May 12, 2005
Public Resources Management Groun, Inc.
Utiliry, Rate, Financial and Managerne�t Consultants
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� �� � � Presentation A enda
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�� PRMG's Corporate Background
���� PRMG's History with the Village �,
�<�<� Purpose of Report
��� Financial Forecast Overview
�= Significant Events Affecting Utility System Since Last Forecast
� Other Events Affecting Utility System Since Last Forecast
<<�� Present Major Assumptions
�a• Discuss Financial Results
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r � � Presentat�on A enda
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�<< Present Major Assumptions
-Y� Customer Statistics
-- Capital Improvement Plan �,
«-= Revenue and Expense Projections
�<�� Comparison of Prior Vs. Current Financial Forecast
���r Observations and Conclusions
��� Questions and Comments
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���_ P RM G s Cor orate Back rou nd
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��< Public Resources Management Group, Inc. (PRMG) is an
established financial and management consulting firm.
`�� Focusing on utility rate, financial and strategic planning and
management consulting services to local governmental entities. �
f��� The firm has extensive expertise in the following areas:
� Rate and Cost of Service Studies
— Capital Facility Charges and Municipal Impact Fees
� Bond Feasibility Studies
— Valuation and Acquisition Studies, including transitional activities due to
the utility transfer
— Contract Negotiations, Developer/Effluent Extension Agreements
— Capital Financing and Feasibility Studies
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Q Rate and Fee Evaluation
0 Financing Services ��' � �' �J
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r��� PRMG s Histor with the V�IIa e
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��� Work for the Village for over 6 years. Assisted the Village
with the following issues:
� Issuance of the Series 1998 Bonds ��
6 Development of the 2003 10-Year Financial Forecast
— The Town of Jupiter Contract Negotiation and Analysis
(Franchise)
� Jupiter Island Customer Transition and Bulk Service Agreement
� Tropic Vista Assessment Program
� Other Rate Consulting Services
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� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �
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� � � Purpose of Anal sis
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e�� Identify Sufficiency of Existing Rates to Fund Expenditures
@��� Identif Abilit of S stem Revenues To: ��
y y y
-- Meet Daily Operating Expenses !
i Finance Future Capital Improvement Plan
` Fund Debt Payments and Meet Bond Covenants
� Produce Ongoing Net Revenue Margins (positive cash flow)
���� Identify Potential Rate Adjustments/Trends
��� Forecast Developed for Ongoing Strategic Planning Purposes
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� �r � � �t s�t � � � � � �■�r � a� � r � � �
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r � � � F�nanc�al Forecast Overv�ew
�
�<� Financial Plan Covered a 5-year Period
<�� Base Forecast Year = Fiscal Year 2005 '
�
� Based on Fiscal Year 2005 Budget
��� Recognized Existing System Conditions
� Service Territory/Customer Base
� Existing Rates for Service
a= Continued Operations at Current Service Levels
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r �r � r � a� t�■� � � �t � �t �r � � � � �r i
- Si nificant Events Affe in
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r� �� Utilit S s�tem Since Last F r
y y o e�ast
�<<r Finalized Sale of Jupiter Franchise
� Transaction Occurred July 17, 2003 '�,
� Loss of Approx. 600 Customers �,
_- Received $700,000 in S�le of Service Area ',
�
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<<� Successful Negotiation of the Bulk Service Agreement with Jupiter
Island and Purchase of the Rolling Hills Portion of the Service Area
(Approved June 10, 2004)
�- Approximates Service to 100 Customers (9.5% of Sales Revenues)
- 55 Accts. In Town of Jupiter Island (Bulk Agreement through December 2012)
_- Purchased 45 Accts. In Martin County (Rolling Hills)
-_-� Original Bulk Service Agreement would have Expired June 1, 2007
� Less Revenues 2005-2007 More Revenues 2008-2012 (NPV benefit of
$350,000)
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� r � � � � � � � � � � ' � � � � � �
Si nificant Events Aff '
,� g ect�ng
r:.J
r�:� Utilit S sterr� Since Last Fore '
, y y cast (Con t
)
<<� Successfully Entered ir�to Interlocal Agreement with Martin
County Establishing the Tropic Vista MSBU
Transaction Occurred July 12, 2004 ,,
Assessment to Finance cost of Distribution Improvements �
- Resulting in 108 Additional Connections to the Village
<<< Entered into Agreement to supply Bulk Raw Water to Jupiter Hills
Country Club
�� 450,000 gallons per day take-or-pay agreement
��- Generates Annual Revenues of Approximately $48,000
��f Successfully Awarded Grants (From SFWMD) to fund a portion
of the New R.O. Expansion Project ($530,000)
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� � � � � � � � � � � � ' � � � � � �
��-� `�- O t h e r i n i'
S ficant Events
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r�� Affecti n Uti I it S stem Con t
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<��� Bulk Water Service �greement — Town of Jupiter
�-= Agreement Expires June 15, 2007
�- Capacity Purchase of 1.350 MGD
�-_= Graduated Bulk Water Rate Increase
_- From $1.32 to $1.43/1,000 gallons (Currently $1.40)
�<� Construction of R.O. Water Treatment Plant
�= 1.20 MGD Treatment Train
_-- Project Cost of ��1,900,000
c= Must Be On-Line Prior to June 15, 2007
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� r � a� � i a■� r � s � � �w � � � � i �
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���� � - Ma'or Assum tion — ' '
r.� � p s Customer Statistics
�
��� Utility Service Area:
� Currently Serves Approximately
� 4,782 customers
= 7,953 ERCs
�-s Approaching Built-out Condition —<1 % Growth Rate '
_= Have Ability to Serve Customers (Martin County)
<<< Projected New Custor�ners As a Result of Water Line
Extensions
-- Tropic Vista — 108 Total Connections
�-= Jupiter Heights — 15 Total Connections
---- Cover Point — 45 Connections
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� � � � � � � � i � � � � � � � � � �
r"� ��� Ma�or Assu m tions — C I P
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��� Significant Capital Improvement Program Identified
� Renewals and Replacements
�� Facility Expansions (RO Plant) ���
�:� Five-year Expenditure Requirements = $6,829,861
� Includes Annual Inflationary Allowance of 2.2%
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r;� �- Ma'or Assu m tions — C I P Con't
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�;� Significant Projects Include:
Amount Year !
RO Raw Water Line/Well No. 3 $1,300,000 2005
RO Water Treatment Plant $1,900,000 2006/2007
Liquid Chlorine Conversion $750,000 2007
RO Membrane Replacement $20,000/40,000 Annually
Continued R&R Projects $200,000 Annually
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��� �- Ma'or Assu m tions — C I P Con't
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�<� Assumed Funding Prc�gram
Amount Percent
Operating Reserves/Transfer $4,529,292 66.3%
Capital Connection Charges 117,185 1.7 ,
Assessments 534,092 7.8
Grants 530,000 7.8
Renewal & Replacement Acct. 716,972 10.5
Future Bonds 402,319 5.9
Totals $6,829,861 100.0%
�<� Renewal & Replacement Fund (5% Prior Year Gross
Reve n u e )
�<< Future Bonds (in FY 2007 — Only if needed)
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� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �
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- Ma'or Assum tions — Reven
,�.
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r� �s � Ex �nse Pro'ection
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��:� Rates Assume Annual Price Index Adjustment —
Average 1.4%
�� Continued Inflation on Operations/Labor
��< Recognize 3.5% Contingency Allowance
��f Maintain Working �apital at Minimum of 60 Days
<<< Expiration of Jupit�r Bulk Water Purchase
���- New Water Extens�on (new customers)
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Com arison of Prior v.
,� p s
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r� �� � Currenit Financial Fore
cast
Projected�scal Year F�►cling September 30,
2,005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Customers I
Prior Forecast 4,680 4,719 4,740 4,742 4,781 I
Current Forecast 4,782 4,934 4,939 4,945 4,950 ',
Difference 102 215 199 203 169 �
Sales Revenues
Prior Forecast $3,282,059 $3,366,835 $3,386,273 $3,221,851 $3,313,428
Cuirent Forecast 3,548,238 3,698,056 3,758,651 3,807,976 3,870,368
Difference (1) $266,180 $331,221 $372,378 $586,125 $556,940
Operating �penses
Prior Forecast �2,682,006 $2,768,410 $2,767,241 $2,532,035 $2,614,821
Current Forecast 2,787,734 2,892,281 2,888,169 2,672,079 2,757,722
Difference $105,728 $123,871 $120,928 $140,044 $142,901
Net Revenue Surplus
Prior Forecast $80,204 $82,101 $72,903 $37,962 $10,257
Current Forecast 243,872 325,624 394,424 486,746 381,288
Difference $163,668 $243,522 $321,521 $448,784 $371,031
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� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �
,�
r � � � Observations and Conclusions
��
,,
��� Village Financial Position Favorable — Has improved
since last Financial Forecast
� Result of Staff Acti�ns and Growth
- No Additional Rate increases except indexing should be ,
needed throughout the forecast period
�<� The Village should continue to stay on course and
keep the system operation lean
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� � � � � � � � � � � � � � r � � �■■i �
_�
�
r r� �� Observations and Conclusions
�
���� Village Must Index F�ates Annually to Keep Up with the
Cost of Inflation/Maiu�tain Revenue Margins
���� Village Should Not Renew Town of Jupiter Bulk Agreement
��� I ncremental Cost Of RO Expansion More Effective
���� Annual Positive Operation Margins Exist
�-- 5% to 10% of Rev�nues
�- Maintain Minimum Working Capital Balances (60 Days)
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� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �
,� � � '
r���_2 Observat�or�s and Conclus�ons Con t
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��<� Pursue Water Line E�:tensions in Martin County
� Customer Fund Line Extensions (assessments)
� Recapture Lost Customers
�:� If the Village in the Future were to consider hiring a full time
Utilities Director it wo�ld have an adverse affect on the utilities
bottom line (Potentially a$100,000 a year or more)
��� Upon Completion of RO Plant Expansion, All Impact Fees
Applied to Debt Payments
���� Update Financial For�cast at Least Every Two Years
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� � � � i � � 0 � � � � � � � � � � �
I _ _- --- _ --- ---- -- ---- - - - _ ___
Village of Tequesta '
Debt Service Coverage
- 3.00
600, 000 -
�.�,� -<�
-- - 2.50 '
�, 500,000 � �► �� .� I
�
� 400, 000 - 2.00 � °
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�
a 300, 000 1. 50 �
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� 200, 000 1. 00 0
Q U
100, 000 0. 50
- — — T — — �- — — ,— — -� — - -- 0. 00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Fiscal Year
— — — — — — — --- -- — — — — -- _ _
0 Annual Debt Se�ice �Minimum Coverage
���- E st im� ted Cov erage
��;:x,u;
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� � � i � � � � � � � � � r � � � i �
r��� �� Observations and Conclusions Con't
�
��� Net Revenues (Assuming Indexing) Should
Meet Bond Covenants
<;<� Existing Rates for Service Competitive
Monthly Bill -
10,000 qallons
Village of Tequesta $28.67
Town of Jupit�r $24.14
Other Similar Utilities $30.62
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Questions and Comments
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