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HomeMy WebLinkAboutDocumentation_Pension Public Safety_Tab 04_04/18/2006~~ ;.,: Village of Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund First Quarter 2006 Review ROCKWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 1401 S. Brentwood Blvd. Suite 400 St. Louis, Missouri 63144 (888) 962-8336 (toll-free) (314) 962-1254 (fax) ~~~ ~:~ _: ~; fixed inc~une s~~ecialist.a April 10, 2006 Board of Trustees Village of Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund c/o Ms. Betty Laur P.O. Box 3273 250 Tequesta Drive, Suite 300 Tequesta, Florida 33469-0273 Dear Board: At your last meeting a question was raised regarding the performance calculation on the investments in the account, particularly regarding the difference in the returns shown by Rockwood vs. your investment monitor, Bogdahn Consultants. In taking a look at the overall performance of the account for the last six months of 2005, the cumulative sum of the monthly variations for the total portfolio is just 15 basis points (Bogdahn greater than Rockwood): Rockwood Bogdahn Difference 2005.06 1.3597% 1.4179% -0.0582% 2005.07 2.9864% 2.9186% 0.0678% 2005.08 0.0081% 0.0206% -0.0125% 2005.09 0.3965% 0.4616% -0.0651% 2005.10 -3.7822% -3.6723% -0.1099% 2005.11 2.2725% 2.2003% 0.0722% 2005.12 0.6648% 0.7064% -0.0416% SUM -0.15% The reason for the difference typically resides in the "pricing service" used and is ' generally found to be more of an issue with bonds than stocks. So, while we would always like to be "on top" of the consultants figures(or equal to), experience has taught us that if your within 5-10 basis points a month, that's an acceptable variance. But, again the overall performance at 15 basis points difference looks pretty tight. ' I will be attending your meeting next week and will be happy to answer any additional questions then. I look forward to seeing everyone then. Sincerely, L/. 1Z~tG~u< 1~4~i~ytCeu6 ' Managing Partner c. Joseph Bogdahn l-~U1 S. 13rcntwood 131~d. • Suite SOU St. Louis. Alissouri 631- 31-~-9(~Z-336 • (toll-free) ti8h-~16Z-~33(~ 1~:~.A' 31-1-~)6?-t?~-t ~~~ tz Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund First Quarter 2006 Tota I Fun d Portfolio Summary Change in Market Value Interest /Dividends Contributions Net Disbursements Net Realized & Unrealized (G/L) Fixed Incor Inds 40% 3% Portfolio Summary Short-Term EquRies 57% ROCKW00D CAPITAL ADVISORS $25,299 T~~, - ~ec~ '~>Ea $62,530 ($23,186) $55,521 Total Fund Performance 1 (Policy) 60% S&P 500 and 40% LBIN Inception 5/1/05 1 Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund ~ Equity -First Quarter 2006 i~ Market Environment • This latest quarter represents a much better launch to the new year than one year 1 ago when the equity market stumbled "out of the gate" and declined 2.2% in the first quarter of 2005. • Leadership continues to be concentrated within the more cyclical areas of the equity market: machinery, energy, aerospace/defense, metals, etc. Your portfolio holds important positions in most of those groups. As the Fed continues in its strategy of gradually boosting interest rates, the more interest-rate sensitive groups such as home building and electric utilities are increasingly faltering. We expect those trends to continue and have positioned your portfolio in line with that expectation. • While many investment gurus have been highlighting the virtues of owning the large-cap issues for some time (two to three years), their market performance continues to lag the mid- and small-cap segments which are apparently buoyed by an alternative thinking of other investors who have identified better money- making opportunities in the mid-and small-cap areas. While even these trends will change at some point, we are not anticipating it in the near future. As such your portfolio weighting has been concentrated more within the mid-cap segment. Rockwood Strategic Equity 24% 19% 14% 9% 4% -1 -6% Tequesta Public Safety S&P 500 16.7% ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 2 1st Qtr. 4th Qtr. 3rd Qtr. Since Inception 2006 2005 2005 (5/1/05) Equity Characteristics First Quarter 2006 Top 10 Holdings I ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 1. Halliburton Co. 3.4% 2. Caterpillar Inc. 3.2% 3. Precision Castparts Co. 3.2% 4. Seagate Technology 3.2% 5. Chesapeake Energy Corp. 3.1 6. Loews Corp. 2.9% 7. Sunrise Senior Living Inc. 2.8% 8. Simon Property Group I 2.8% 9. Landstar System Inc. 2.7% 10. Boeing Co. 2.7% 3 Characteristics Sector Weighting Equity Transactions First Quarter 2006 Sold 1~ Jan Rockwell Collins Inc. Jan Centerpoint Entergy Inc. Jan Teco Energy Inc. Feb Entergy Corp. Feb Deere & Co. Mar Schering-Plough Corp. Mar Sprint Nextel Corp. Mar Murphy Oil Corp. Mar Baxter International Inc. ~~ '~ Bought Jan Henry Schein Inc. Jan THQ Inc. Jan Adtran Inc. Feb Fair Isaac Corp. Feb Sunrise Senior Living Inc. Mar TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. Mar Medimmune Inc. Mar VCA Antech Inc. Mar Stericycle Inc. ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 4 ' Equity Holdings -March 31, 2006 L ~. , ,~ CASH 53 1.00 NA 53,378.00 1.00 53,378.00 2.984 2535.46 4.75 ADTRAN INC 1,455 31.37 0.57 45,640.00 26.17 38,077.35 2.129 510.24 1.34 AFLAC INC 815 45.28 0.61 36,901.00 45.13 36,780.95 2.056 426.66 1.16 APACHE CORP 620 58.99 0.20 36,573.99 65.51 40,616.20 2.271 243.70 0.60 APARTMENT INVT & MGMT 970 38.98 0.44 37,806.04 46.90 45,493.00 2.543 2320.14 5.10 BOEING CO 620 58.58 0.54 36,317.99 77.93 48,316.60 2.701 734.41 1.52 CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILW 935 44.44 NA 41,555.98 49.97 46,721.95 2.612 579.35 1.24 CATERPILLAR INC 800 44.77 0.73 35,812.00 71.81 57,448.00 3.212 764.06 1.33 CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORP 1,790 20.50 0.95 36,695.00 31.41 56,223.90 3.143 354.21 0.63 EL PASO CORP 3,540 10.38 0.83 36,744.85 12.05 42,657.00 2.385 558.81 1.31 FAIR ISAAC CORP 990 44.36 0.77 43,918.97 39.62 39,223.80 2.193 78.45 0.20 FISERV INC 960 43.76 0.24 42,009.98 42.55 40,848.00 2.284 0.00 0.00 GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER 3,080 11.72 0.65 36,109.92 14.48 44,598.40 2.493 0.00 0.00 HALLIBURTON CO 840 43.97 0.47 36,936.98 73.02 61,336.80 3.429 490.69 0.80 HCC INSURANCE HOLDINGS 1,305 28.05 0.79 36,603.03 34.80 45,414.00 2.539 399.64 0.88 HENRY SCHEIN INC 985 45.52 0.35 44,841.04 47.86 47,142.10 2.635 0.00 0.00 INDYMAC BANCORP INC 1,020 36.12 0.94 36,841.99 40.93 41,748.60 2.334 1786.84 4.28 LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC 1,100 32.79 0.08 36,069.00 44.12 48,532.00 2.713 111.62 0.23 LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP 610 59.24 0.61 36,135.97 75.13 45,829.30 2.562 733.27 1.60 LOEWS CORP 510 71.47 0.17 36,448.99 101.20 51,612.00 2.865 299.35 0.58 MCKESSON CORP 860 45.92 0.56 39,488.96 52.13 44,831.80 2.506 201.74 0.45 MEDIMMUNE INC 1,185 35.32 0.52 41,853.96 36.58 43,347.30 2.423 0.00 0.00 P G & E CORP 1,050 34.97 0.88 36,721.97 38.90 40,845.00 2.283 1372.39 3.36 PERFORMANCE FOOD GROUP 1,340 29.50 0.54 39,529.06 31.19 41,794.60 2.336 0.00 0.00 PRECISION CASTPARTS CO 960 37.69 0.60 36,182.02 59.40 57,024.00 3.188 114.05 0.20 PROTECTIVE LIFE CORP 960 38.56 0.99 37,022.02 49.74 47,750.40 2.669 754.46 1.58 SAFEWAY INC 1,720 22.29 0.91 38,342.07 25.12 43,206.40 2.415 341.33 0.79 SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY 2,165 18.97 NA 41,070.05 26.33 57,004.45 3.187 0.00 0.00 SIMON PROPERTY GROUP I 590 62.30 0.61 36,757.00 84.14 49,642.60 2.775 1787.13 3.60 STERICYCLE INC 670 63.44 0.19 42,506.01 67.62 45,305.40 2.533 0.00 0.00 SWIFT ENERGY CO 1,280 29.27 0.50 37,460.99 37.46 47,948.80 2.681 0.00 0.00 Sunrise Senior Living Inc 1,300 34.46 0.06 44,800.99 38.97 50,661.00 2.832 0.00 0.00 T ROWE PRICE GROUP INC 575 67.51 0.12 38,819.00 78.21 44,970.75 2.514 634.09 1.41 TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP 1,885 21.46 0.30 40,459.07 20.87 39,339.95 2.199 0.00 0.00 TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 1,265 33.58 0.64 42,483.00 32.47 41,074.55 2.296 147.87 0.36 THOINC 1,645 27.20 0.36 44,748.94 25.89 42,589.05 2.381 0.00 0.00 VCA ANTECH INC 1,470 28.86 0.02 42,429.05 28.48 41,865.60 2.340 0.00 0.00 VOLVO AB-SPONSORED ADR 850 43.66 NA 37,111.00 46.62 39,627.00 2.215 1779.25 4.49 WALGREEN CO 880 45.44 0.15 39,987.02 43.13 37,954.40 2.122 227.73 0.60 i~ ~~ ~~~ ~ ROCxw ooD CAPITAL ADVISORS 5 Tequesta Public Safety Officers' Pension Fund Fixed Income -First Quarter 2006 Market Environment ~ In the first quarter, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate an additiona- 50 basis points, bringing the funds rate to 4.75%. The fed funds futures contract, the best predictor of Fed policy moves, indicates that another increase in May is a virtual certainty. 0 Yields rose across all maturities rose substantially in the first quarter of 2006. Treasury yields rose more than 0.4% across most maturities. The treasury yield curve is virtually flat, with yields falling within a range of 4.8% to 4.9% for maturities ranging from six months to 30 years. 0 Two Fed rate hikes in the quarter pushed up rates at the short end of the yield curve. In addition, unlike last quarter when long rates were stable, yields on longer term securities also rose due to continued Fed tightening and fear of increasing inflationary pressures. D Overall, the Lehman Aggregate Index fell 0.6% in the first quarter. Long term securities were especially hard hit. The 30 year treasury lost 6% in the quarter. The Treasury and Corporate sectors fell 1.2% and 1.1%, respectively. By comparison, Mortgages had a great quarter, falling only 0.1 %. 4 The major equity indices had a very good first quarter, most with returns in excess of 4%. Smaller capitalization stocks did even better. The Russell 2000 Small Cap Index was up 14% in the quarter. ' Sector Index Returns 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% ' 0% -1% ' -2% Tsy Agy MBS Credit U.S. Treasury Yield Curves 6% i 5% , _ ~.~ ---- 4%- ,i'- ~-~ 3%~~.~ 2 /o ° 3/31 /2006 1 % -' 12/31/2005 - - - - - 3/31 /2005 0% 3 2 5 10 30 mos yrs yrs yrs yrs FiY ' Fixed Income Performance 4% ' 2% 0.9% 0.5% 0 % Ay»,~ -2 % I' ' 1 st Qtr. 4th Qtr. 2006 2005 1.5% 0.9% -0.2% _0.4% 3rd Qtr. Since Inception 2005 (5/1/05) ' ~ Tequesta Public Safety Q Lehman Int. Gov't/Credit ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 6 Fixed Income Portfolio Structure March 31, 2006 Effective Maturity 1 to 3 yrs 3to5yrs 5 to 10 yrs ~ Tequesta Pub. Safety Lehman Int. G/C 0% 20% 40% 60% Tequesta Public Safety ' u.s. Cash Treasuries ' Corporate 4% ' Agencies 39% ' Mortgac 38% ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS Lehman Int. Gov't/Credit u.s. Treasuries Corporate: 32% Mortgages 0% ;ncies 24% 7 Characteristics Bond Holdings -March 31, 2006 36 OOOOOOCM CASH & EQUIVALENTS AAA 4.750 4/30/2006 100.000 36 2.91 4.750 0.08 0.07 0.00 120 3128X4YB FEDERAL HOME LN MTG CORP AGY 4.415 7/6/2007 100.004 121 9.79 4.817 1.20 0.01 0.00 50 31359MZD FEDERAL NATL MTG ASSN AGY 4.250 9/28/2007 98.656 49 3.98 5.198 1.43 1.37 -0.04 60 31359ME7 FEDERAL NATL MTG ASSN AGY 5.000 1/23/2009 99.375 60 4.86 5.239 2.57 1.80 -0.56 25 3133MLT8 FEDERAL HOME LN BKS AGY 5.250 2/13/2009 100.250 25 2.04 5.153 2.62 2.62 0.04 20 3134A3EM FEDERAL HOME LN MTG CORP AGY 5.750 3/15/2009 101.750 20 1.65 5.104 2.69 2.69 0.04 50 3133X15Y FEDERAL HOME LN BKS AGY 4.100 3/30/2009 97.188 49 3.92 5.123 2.78 2.78 0.05 70 9128275N UNITED STATES TREAS NTS TSY 6.000 8/15/2009 103.613 73 5.90 4.826 3.02 3.02 0.06 105 31359MHK FEDERAL NATL MTG ASSN AGY 5.500 3/15/2011 101.438 107 8.62 5.167 4.29 4.29 0.11 50 3133X8RQ FEDERAL HOME LN BKS AGY 4.700 10/4/2011 96.813 50 4.00 5.376 4.67 3.67 -0.61 10 742718DA PROCTER 8 GAMBLE AA3 4.950 8/1512014 96.777 10 0.79 5.433 6.70 6.72 0.27 10 78387GAP SBC COMMUNICATIONS INC A2 5.100 9/15/2014 94.914 10 0.77 5.871 6.71 6.73 0.27 45 912828DM UNITED STATES TREAS NTS TSY 4.000 2/15/2015 93.715 42 3.42 4.880 7.29 7.31 0.32 90 912828EW UNITED STATES TREAS NTS TSY 4.500 2/15/2016 97.258 88 7.11 4.852 7.82 7.85 0.37 11 17275RAC CISCO SYSTEMS INC At 5.500 2/22/2016 98.498 11 0.88 5.700 7.48 7.51 0.35 15 EF338023 Lehman Brothers Al 5.500 4/4/2016 98.449 15 1.19 5.705 7.58 7.61 0.36 29 31402DJS FNMA POOL - 725773 AGY 5.500 9/1/2034 97.881 28 2.29 5.938 4.64 4.17 -0.74 70 36200EUP GNMA POOL - 599190 AGY 6.000 3/15/2035 101.125 71 5.76 5.763 4.38 3.37 -1.02 47 31402RDG FNMA POOL - 735503 AGY 6.000 4/1/2035 100.157 47 3.83 5.899 3.25 2.79 -0.96 94 36291W7H GNMAPOOL-640896 AGY 7.000 4/15/2035 103.988 98 7.91 5.350 2.43 1.06 -0.74 79 36291XMW GNMA POOL - 641273 AGY 4.500 411512035 93.906 74 5.99 5.448 6.55 6.79 -0.23 69 31407NQM FNMA POOL - 835760 AGY 4.500 9/1/2035 92.307 64 5.14 5.859 5.64 5.90 -0.37 92 31402RRS FNMA POOL - 735897 AGY 5.500 10/1/2035 97.632 90 7.25 5.985 4.71 4.27 -0.76 ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 8 Economic Environment & Outlook March 31, 2006 ~ In the first quarter, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate an additional 50 basis points to 4.75%. The fed funds futures contract, the best predictor of Fed policy moves, indicates that another increase in May is a virtual certainty. In addition, with the economy showing few signs of slowing, the odds of further rate increases have been growing. ~ The Fed must remain on guard against the prospect of rising inflation expectations. The persistence of high headline inflation and a tighter labor market has finally started to feed through into wages. In September 2005, average hourly earnings had risen by 2.7% on ayear-over-year basis, but by February 2006 the rate had climbed to 3.5%. ~ The U.S. experienced average employment growth of 165,000 jobs per month in 2005. Since the end of 2004, the unemployment rate has dropped from 5.4% to the current 4.8%. The labor market still appears to be tightening, putting upward pressure on wages and inflation. ~ Housing has been a significant source of growth in the U.S. economy. Not only have the direct effects of housing construction provided a major boost, but consumer spending has been elevated due to the high level of cash-out refinancing and home equity lending. An increase in long-term interest rates is likely to put the brakes on housing and could slow consumer spending. ~ A swing in the inventory cycle is likely to provide significant stimulus for the economy in the first half of 2006. The inventory-to-sales ratio, a measure of business stocks of inventories relative to business sales, is at historically low levels. This has been an excellent indicator of strong near-term economic growth. ~ We have become less defensive from a duration standpoint, and our portfolios maintain durations near their respective benchmarks. While another Fed rate hike to 5% is highly likely, the end of this tightening cycle is in sight. However, the interest rate outlook will be driven by the economic data releases over the next several months. ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS 9 Proxy Voting Record .. Walgreen Co. .. WAG . . Elect Director Bernauer N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Foote N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Howard N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director McNally N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Reed N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Rein N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Schwartz N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Schwemm N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Skinner N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Ferstel N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director C. Walgreen, III N/A For 880 01/11/06 Ratify Auditors N/A For 880 01/11/06 Amend Stock O tion Plan N/A For 880 01/11/06 ROCRWOOD CAPITAL ADVISORS I Deere ~ Co. I DE I Proxy Voting Record .. Walgreen Co. .. WAG . . Elect Director Bernauer N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Foote N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Howard N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director McNally N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Reed N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Rein N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Schwartz N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Schwemm N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Skinner N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director Ferstel N/A For 880 01/11/06 Elect Director C. Walgreen, III N/A For 880 01/11/06 Ratify Auditors N/A For 880 01/11/06 Amend Stock O tion Plan N/A For 880 01/11/06 ROCRW OOD CAPITAL ADVISORS ~ Rockwell Collins, Inc. ~ COL ~